The PLL Championship Series concludes with a rematch between Atlas and Chrome. Atlas enter the final game as 5.5-point favorites against the Chrome after winning four straight games by an average of nine goals. The total is as high as 48.5 at some sportsbooks and as low as 47.5 at others. Let’s take a look at where the edge lies in this matchup.
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Atlas (-5.5) vs Chrome
| Atlas Odds | -250 |
| Chrome Odds | +205 |
| Total | 49.5 |
| Time | Sunday, 11:30 a.m. ET |
| TV | ESPNU |
Odds via FanDuel.
It’s no secret that the Atlas have thrived in this modified “sixes” lacrosse format. Their ability to score two-pointers from beyond the arc has been the difference in all four of their games. Yet, creating leads by scoring from range has actually made their victories appear more lopsided than they actually were—particularly in their last game with the Chrome.
Everyone—even Atlas themselves—knows the key to slowing them down is to limit their two-point threats, but the “catch 22” is that an overemphasis on stopping two-pointers could open up more chances for Atlas to finish in close. Yet, Chrome may be the one team that is perfectly content with allowing those inside looks.
Starting goaltender Sean Sconone has played the entirety of Chrome’s last two games and is currently the only goaltender who’s stopping more than 50% of the shots he’s faced. When Sconone has been in net, the Chrome have allowed just 4.6 goals per period. Trusting Sconone to make some close-range saves and allowing Chrome’s offense to try and match the Atlas’ single-goal production is a much easier recipe for success—and one that worked for Chrome in the final two quarters of their last game with Atlas.
While Atlas still managed to score three two-pointers to Chrome’s two in the second half, Atlas’ nine-point win in the box score doesn’t tell the whole story when it comes to how this game played out. Atlas took advantage of Chrome backup Owen McElroy in net, burying five two-point goals and out-scoring Chrome 14-5.
With Sconone in net, the Chrome matched the Atlas, with each team scoring 15 points in the final three quarters. In fact, Chrome actually found the back of the net more times than Atlas did, burying 13 shots to Atlas’ nine in the final three quarters.
Sconone will be the difference maker in keeping this game close as the Chrome will stay competitive with Atlas for the entire game. While Atlas are still the favorites to win this final for a reason, 5.5 points is too much to cover against a Chrome team that can match them in physicality, scoring and goalie play. Bet Chrome +5.5 at -110 on FanDuel.
Pick: Chrome +5.5 |
