Cadiz vs Real Betis Odds
| Cadiz Odds | +200 |
| Real Betis Odds | +160 |
| Draw | +210 |
| Over / Under | 2.5 +160o / -211u |
Soccer in Spain is back for another full slate of matches this weekend, starting with Real Betis and Cádiz at the Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla on Friday night.
The visitors made multiple signings in the January transfer window to bolster a squad pushing for European places next season.
Meanwhile, the hosts have picked up points under the new manager, but they are still in the relegation zone in 18th.
This is one of those classic fixtures in La Liga with a very low total, and I’m not sure you can set this one low enough.
Here is my Cadiz vs Real Betis prediction.
Cadiz
No team in Spain was busier than Manuel Pellegrini’s side in the transfer window, who brought in four new players to the club. Three of those signings were also made on deadline day.
One of the signings is American Johnny Cardoso from Internacional in Brazil. He may be one more for the future, but it will be interesting to follow his progress for the United States Men’s National Team.
Two arrivals that should make a big difference are Pablo Fornals (West Ham) and Chimy Ávila (Osasuna). They should slot in right away, especially with a few key injuries.
In this match, Pellegrini will be without Isco and Ayoze Pérez. The two have been primary attackers this season for Betis.
Real Betis
After sacking their manager in January, Cádiz have turned to Mauricio Pellegrino to save the club from relegation. He returns to the Spanish top flight after last managing Leganes in 2019.
The ex-Southampton boss has spent the last three years in Latin America coaching for different clubs. He is known for his time at Alaves, where he guided the Basque club to a Copa del Rey final in 2017.
He is undefeated in his two matches in charge so far, picking up impressive draws against Athletic Club and Villarreal.
The team hasn’t won in the league since the beginning of September. So, the pressure is on for Pellegrino to keep the club in the top division.
Cadiz vs Real Betis
Prediction
With all of the changes at both clubs, this one is a tricky one to call. However, I do see some season-long metrics that point me to one play in this match.
So, my best bet is for this game to fall under the total of two at +103 odds, which I would bet to -110.
If you start first with Cádiz, this has been a team all season that has been very good defensively at home. The squad has only allowed averages of 0.85 expected goals and 1.18 big scoring chances per 90 minutes, according to fbref.com.
Both of those metrics would rank inside the top five in La Liga. This is also what we’ve seen under Pellegrino.
It is a very small sample size, but his two games in charge have both ended with no goals on a combined 1.25 xG per match.
On the other side of the field, Betis have not been a side that has generated a lot of chances on the road. In fact, Pellegrini’s team would rank in the bottom six in both xG and big chances created per match away from home.
You now throw in the fact that Isco and Perez will be out, which makes up over half of the club’s league goals and assists this season. Plus, Betis have new attackers who need time to gel with a new team.
I like getting this play at plus money for what could be a boring match in Spain.
Pick: Under 2 (+103)
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