Getafe vs Athletic Club Odds
| Getafe Odds | +260 |
| Athletic Club Odds | +115 |
| Draw | +225 |
| Over / Under | 2.5 +137 / -175 |
A top 10 matchup kicks off this weekend's slate in La Liga when Getafe welcome Athletic Club to the Coliseum Alfonso Pérez on Friday.
Bilbao are making a push for Champions League qualification after recently winning the Copa del Rey title.
Meanwhile, Getafe are looking to end the season in the top half of the league table for the first time since the 2019-20 campaign.
These are two top defensive sides, and I’m expecting this to be a cagey affair to open the soccer action in Spain for match day 34.
Getafe
Manager José Bordalás made his return to Getafe last season with the team in the relegation zone. However, he has done a great job of securing the club another campaign in the Spanish top flight without much stress.
Coming into this match, Bordalás’ squad is 17 points above the Bottom 3 with just five La Liga fixtures remaining.
One of the keys to the successful season has been the play at home. Getafe have picked up 29 of 43 points at the Coliseum.
Only five teams have less than Getafe’s three home losses, and I’m expecting Bordalás to have his side ready for another strong showing here.
Athletic Club
Athletic Club were finally able to get over the hump in Spain’s top domestic competition by defeating Mallorca on penalties. It ended a 40-year run of not winning the Copa del Rey.
The victory also stopped a streak of six-straight losses in the final of the cup and booked Bilbao in the Europa League next season.
However, Ernesto Valverde’s side is still in the hunt to qualify for the UCL. With a win here, the club will move to within three points of Atlético Madrid in fourth.
Valverde should have his full allotment of attackers for this one, including the brothers of Nico and Iñaki Williams. The two have combined for 13 goals and 11 assists in league play.
Getafe vs Athletic Club
Prediction
With the total for this match juiced to the under, the oddsmakers are telling you that this should be a low-scoring affair. I agree with this, but I think there is better value in the props market.
So, my best bet is the under 8.5 corners at +110. I also don’t hate the no on both teams to score as another solid option.
If you start first with the hosts, Getafe’s home matches average just 7.75 corners per game, which is the lowest in La Liga.
This has also been a profitable bet against better opposition. At home against top 10 teams, this same play would have cashed in five-of-seven fixtures.
The other key here is both squads do not give up many chances. Athletic Club rank in the top three on the road in match averages allowed in expected goals (1.06), shots (11.13) and big chances (1.56), according to fbref.com.
Meanwhile, Getafe’s defense would rank in the top six in shots and expected goals allowed per 90 minutes if you compared the club’s home metrics to the data of the league averages in all games.
I just don’t expect this to be a high-event match with a lot of shots, which should keep the teams away from the corner flags.
