Jack Jenkins (13-3) faces Gabriel Santos (11-2) in the UFC 312 prelims on Saturday night at the Qudos Bank Arena in Sydney, Australia.
While Santos won his most recent fight against Yizha, he suffered a loss in two consecutive fights prior. Jenkins, on the other hand has won in 10 of his past 11 battles
Here's my Jack Jenkins vs. Gabriel Santos prediction.
Jack Jenkins vs. Gabriel Santos UFC 312 Odds
| Jenkins Odds | +195 |
| Santos Odds | -238 |
| Over/Under | 2.5 Rounds -210/+160 |
| Location | Qudos Bank Arena | Sydney, Australia |
| Bout Time | 11:45 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | ESPN+ PPV |
| UFC 312 odds via DraftKings as of Friday. Bet on UFC 312 with our DraftKings promo code. | |
Jenkins vs. Santos Prediction, Pick
Jack Jenkins was the most "public" underdog in my data sample this week, with fans and bettors selecting the Aussie at a 69% clip despite implied odds of nearly 35%.
Gabriel Santos is the bigger man (2" advantage in both height and reach) and the better athlete. He seemingly has Jenkins covered in this fight, skill for skill.
Still, Santos is incredibly exciting because he tends to brawl with opponents and fight at a high pace. This can lead to him tiring when he faces resistance, but if he lands takedowns against Jenkins, he should be in the driver's seat.
Jenkins likely has a better gas tank and strong leg kicks to neutralize Santos' movement. However, he's been taken down and out-grappled for at least half a round against each of his four UFC opponents, and Santos is the best grappler and most physical opponent he's faced to date.
I projected Santos as a near -270 favorite and would bet his moneyline to -250. However, I don't project value on the total or any winning method props.
Pick: Gabriel Santos (-230, 0.25u) at FanDuel; bet to -250
