Nate Landwehr vs. Doo Ho Choi Pick, Prediction, Odds for UFC 310 on Saturday, December 7

Nate Landwehr vs. Doo Ho Choi Pick, Prediction, Odds for UFC 310 on Saturday, December 7 article feature image
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(Photo by Jordan Jones/Getty Images) Pictured: Nate Landwehr

Check out the Nate Landwehr vs. Doo Ho Choi odds for UFC 310 on Saturday, December 7, with my betting preview and breakdown.

Nate Landwehr vs. Doo Ho Choi Odds

Landwehr Odds-130
Choi Odds+110
Over/Under2.5 (+120 / -154)
LocationT-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
Bout Time10:15 p.m. ET
TV/StreamingESPN+
UFC 310 odds as of Friday and via DraftKings. Bet on UFC 310 with our DraftKings promo code.

Nate Landwehr versus Dooho Choi has the makings of a potential show-stealer, and it may be the most likely on the entire card to end up as the fight of the night.

That should hardly surprise you given both men's history; both have been involved in legendary scraps that true UFC fans will not soon forget. 

Here's my Landwehr vs. Choi pick and prediction.

John LanFranca's Tale of the Tape

LandwehrChoi
Record18-515-4-1
Avg. Fight Time9:227:32
Height5'9""5'10"
Weight (pounds)145 lbs.145 lbs.
Reach (inches)72"70"
StanceOrthodoxOrthodox
Date of birth6/6/19884/10/1991
Sig Strikes Per Min6.254.41
SS Accuracy46%53%
SS Absorbed Per Min5.754.49
SS Defense55%55%
Take Down Avg1.000.75
TD Acc41%37%
TD Def86%47%
Submission Avg1.00.8

At UFC 310, Nate Landwehr finds himself as a small favorite against "The Korean Superboy" Choi. Landwehr’s pace and output are must-see at this point. The UFC veteran lands 6.25 significant strikes per minute, which ranks him just outside the top ten all-time in that category for fighters with a minimum of five UFC bouts.

He truly is one of those fighters who needs to take some damage in the early going before he settles into the war of attrition which he ultimately thrives in. 

Landwehr has only landed 1 takedown per 15 minutes throughout his UFC tenure, but in a back-and-forth affair that could feature some wild exchanges, he undoubtedly has the potential to drag Choi to the mat in his back pocket when needed.

Choi has defended takedowns at just 47% in the UFC. Just two fights ago we saw him taken down five times in 15 minutes by Kyle Nelson; back in July, he was taken down twice in the first round by Bill Algeo.

Choi returned in 2023 after over three years of military service in South Korea and is a point deduction away from being 2-0 since stepping back into the octagon. Crisp punches, stinging leg kicks, and dangerous finishing ability remain part of the once highly-regarded featherweight prospect repertoire.

Twelve of his 15 career wins have come by way of knockout. When matching up with Landwehr, simply by seeing an immense amount of output coming his direction, there will be opportunities to counter. Choi will be able to generate some offensive firepower of his own, it may just come down to how well Landwehr can walk through the Korean’s power shots. Landwehr has been finished by strikes twice in his UFC career.

Landwehr vs. Choi Pick, Prediction

If Doo Ho Choi cannot land the fight-ending strike that puts Landwehr away, it’s difficult to envision a bout where Choi is winning minutes consistently. Landwehr walks the fine line between being aggressive and reckless, which in turn means Choi’s most likely win condition is an early-round finish.

Given Landwehr’s cardio edge and wrestling advantage, I believe he gets the job done excitingly on Saturday night. My first bet is Landwehr's moneyline, with a best price of -129 at BetRivers.

However, there is a second angle I am also playing to attempt to ensure this bout turns out profitably. That's Choi to pick up a knockout in the first two rounds, which is priced at +410 on FanDuel.

John's Picks:

  • Nate Landwehr moneyline -129 (1.29 units) (BetRivers)
  • Dooho Choi to win by KO/TKO in Rounds 1 or 2 +410 (FanDuel) for .33 unit

About the Author
John Lanfranca is a contributor at Action Network who specializes in NFL betting, with a focus on sides, totals, and player props. He has been betting since 2006 John has been involved with football since a young age and currently coaches at the high school level. He has cashed multiple five-figure entries in NFL DFS, which coincided with him entering the industry with Fantasysharks, where he contributed as a podcaster while also writing daily articles on betting, DFS, and the NFL Draft. John has shown a consistent ability to win when betting the NFL against the spread, regularly finishing seasons with a winning percentage in the 55-60% range

Follow John Lanfranca @JohnnyLFootball on Twitter/X.

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