For many MMA fans, fight night wouldn't be complete without a UFC 292 parlay bet or two to sweat.
UFC 292 takes place Saturday at TD Garden in Boston. Following prelims on ESPN+ (6:30 p.m. ET) and then ESPN (8 p.m. ET), the five-fight main card kicks off on ESPN+ PPV at 10 p.m. ET.
With 12 fights in all, UFC 292 parlay betting options are plentiful for fight night. And I've put together a traditional parlay, as well as a same game parlay (SGP), for Saturday's big UFC 292 pay-per-view card.
Let's dig into those parlays for the Sterling vs. O'Malley pay-per-view event.
UFC 292 Parlay
With a parlay victory that paid us more than 20-to-1 in the rearview mirror, it’s time to move on as we attack a new slate of fights and try to find the best values on the card.
This week I once again will bank on fighters to take the path of least resistance en route to another parlay win.
This UFC 292 parlay comes with an +840 price tag.
Parlay Leg 1: Gregory Rodrigues by submission (+225)
Gregory Rodrigues burned bettors his last time in the octagon as he was knocked out for the third time in his MMA career.
It was clear his durability is waning, and it has become a major question mark moving forward. He must adjust his fighting style, and in a recent interview, he even admitted that he needs to get back to his grappling roots.
There may not be another fighter in the division better to exploit in this manner than Denis Tiuliulin.
All of Tiuliulin’s losses over the last four years have been by submission. Both his takedown defense and defensive grappling tactics leave a lot to be desired.
Parlay Leg 2: Ian Garry by KO/TKO or submission (-135)
Neil Magny is quite brave to step in on short notice in this particular matchup. Magny is 10 years the elder of the unbeaten Ian Garry, and he simply does not have the grappling chops to take advantage of any leaks in Garry’s game by controlling him on the mat.
Magny also does not possess the power to make Garry pay for some of the defensive striking deficiencies he may still have.
Garry is showing improvement each time he steps into the octagon, which is a scary thought for the entire welterweight division.
Magny has been around long enough to have been finished seven times throughout his UFC career. Most fighters can’t say that, but No. 8 is on the horizon Saturday night.
Parlay Leg 3: Zhang Weili by KO/TKO or submission (-150)
I am fully aware that Amanda Lemos is live for an early knockout in this bout; Zhang Weili’s coaches are also keenly aware of this.
Lemos has the advantage in reach, power and striking accuracy in the UFC 292 co-main event, yet she comes in as a big underdog.
Weili’s game plan will be to wear on Lemos early on, testing her cardio and sapping her explosive power.
Lemos has been taken down in recent fights by other top tier women’s strawweights and has been submitted by Jessica Andrade.
Weili has the well-rounded skill set to make sure the fight isn’t playing out in the manner Lemos needs to land the big power shot in Rounds 1 or 2.
If this fight were to extend to the championship rounds, Weili will be the much more dangerous fighter at that point, and she will get the eventual stoppage as Lemos tires out.
UFC 292 Parlay: +770 at DraftKings
UFC 292 Same Game Parlay
Same-game parlays on DraftKings are a great way to correlate a fight’s results to extract the most value possible on a given path to a fighter’s victory. This week I expect a banger of a fight between two of the UFC’s most durable men in Marlon Vera and Pedro Munhoz.
Vera is a notoriously slow starter, which is something he knows he cannot afford to replicate in this three-round bantamweight matchup against veteran striker Munhoz.
I expect to see the sense of urgency Vera displayed in the latter parts of his fight with Cory Sanghagen. His counter-offense to the leg-kicking attack of Munhoz will be key, and I believe he will be successful in landing the more damaging shots in the judges' eyes.
It’s rare when we have two veteran UFC fighters who have fought the level of competition these men have without either having suffered a loss by KO/TKO or submission. I expect this fight to hit the scorecards as the durability of Vera and Munhoz – who have no stoppage losses in 58 career fights combined – is hard to question at this point.
The riskiest proposition I will be adding to this parlay is that there will be a tie in the takedown column. Munhoz has not landed a single takedown in his previous 10 fights, and he has a very good 81% takedown defense.
As for Vera, his takedown defense is a question, but he himself boasts a measly 0.61-takedown-per-15-minute rate, and his accuracy on offensive takedowns is only 40%.
I am banking on this fight to play out entirely on the feet.
Thus, my UFC 292 same-game parlay is:
- Marlon Vera moneyline (3-way)
- Exact method of victory: Decision
- 70+ Marlon Vera total strikes
- Most significant strikes: Marlon Vera
- Most takedowns: Tie
