Jamie Mullarkey vs. John Makdessi Odds
Two battled-tested vets meet in a lightweight clash with Jamie Mullarkey vs. John Makdessi at UFC 293.
Neither fighter has found the needed consistency during his time in the UFC, but both fighter have fought some of the best of the division and have earned lengthy UFC tenures.
Let's look at Mullarkey vs. Makdessi on the UFC 293 preliminary card.
Tale of the Tape
| Mullarkey | Makdessi | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 16-6 | 18-8 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 10:18 | 11:59 |
| Height | 6'0" | 5'8" |
| Weight | 155.35 pounds | 155.1 pounds |
| Reach (inches) | 74" | 68" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Date of birth | 8/17/1994 | 5/3/1985 |
| Sig Strikes Per Minute | 4.20 | 5.52 |
| SS Accuracy | 46% | 50% |
| SS Absorbed Per Minute | 4.20 | 4.04 |
| SS Defense | 54% | 69% |
| Take Down Average | 2.91 | 0.00 |
| TD Acc | 35% | 0% |
| TD Def | 75% | 85% |
| Submission Average | 0.2 | 0.0 |
Makdessi is the smaller (four inches shorter, six-inch reach discrepancy) and significantly older fighter in this matchup.
Where there is at least a nine-year age gap between UFC opponents, the younger fighter wins 71% of the time, at average odds closer to -138 (58.1% implied), which is roughly 13% above expectation.
Mullarkey is the more well-rounded fighter. He will look to mix his longer kicks and punches with level changes (8.3 takedown attempts per 15 minutes, 35% accuracy) and attempt to smother the smaller fighter.
Apart from the reach discrepancy, Makdessi can counter-wrestle (85% takedown defense) and look to get inside and box up Mullarkey, whose chin consistently betrays him at the worst moments.
While Makdessi has looked competitive in his recent bouts while outstriking both Ignacio Bahamondes and Nasrat Haqparast, he's been taking one fight a year for the past six years and is likely to return from a lengthy layoff at some point – either in this bout or his next – showing severe physical decline.
Mullarkey vs. Makdessi Pick
Mullarkey should be able to put a pace on the older fighter and eventually land takedowns if he is persistent.
And while Makdessi is precise with his strikes – and Mullarkey needs to be mindful in the pocket – "The Bull" hasn't scored a knockout with his hands since 2015.
I like Mullarkey as a parlay piece up to -270 or better (projected -275), and we'll pair him with another hometown fighter on this card.
The Pick: Parlay (-110, 0.5u at WynnBet): Jamie Mullarkey (-260) & Carlos Ulberg (-265)
