UFC 293 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Blood Diamond vs. Charlie Radtke: Go Small on Big Underdog (Saturday, September 9)

UFC 293 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Blood Diamond vs. Charlie Radtke: Go Small on Big Underdog (Saturday, September 9) article feature image
Credit:

Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images. Pictured: UFC welterweight Blood Diamond (Mike Mathetha) of Zimbabwe

Blood Diamond vs. Charlie Radtke Odds

Diamond Odds
+250
Radtke Odds
-325
Over/Under
1.5 rounds (-130 / +100)
Venue
Qudos Bank Arena in Sydney, Australia
Start Time
7:30 p.m. ET
TV
ESPN+
Odds as of Saturday afternoon and via Caesars

City Kickboxing has a big presence at UFC 293, including Blood Diamond vs. Charlie Radtke in a welterweight clash.

Diamond (aka Mike Mathetha) gets a third shot at a first UFC win – likely in his final opportunity to do so – when he meets a fellow striker in Radtke, who recently parlayed a CFFC title win into a UFC contract.

Despite Diamond's kickboxing background, he's a sizable underdog to 11-year vet Radtke.

Let's break down Blood Diamond vs. Radtke at UFC 293.

Tale of the Tape

DiamondRadtke
Record3-27-3
Avg. Fight Time9:49n/a
Height5-foot-115-foot-9
Weight170.25 pounds170.3 pounds
Reach (inches)76"72"
StanceSwitchOrthodox
Date of birth7/10/19887/9/1990
Sig Strikes Per Minute3.260.00
SS Accuracy63%0%
SS Absorbed Per Minute2.040.00
SS Defense43%0%
Take Down Average0.000.00
TD Acc0%0%
TD Def69%0%
Submission Average0.00.0

Diamond, a training partner and teammate of UFC 293 headliner and champ Israel Adesanya, will get his third (and potentially final) try at a UFC win on Saturday against Radtke, the CFFC welterweight champion.

Radtke, a former lightweight, is the smaller man in this matchup (two inches shorter, four-inch reach discrepancy) and may struggle to complete takedowns against a bigger, stronger fighter.

Diamond struggled with a pure grappler in Jeremiah Wells and a pure wrestler in Orion Cosce but might have more success defending takedowns against Radtke, the most undersized athlete of the three.

UFC 293 Odds: Sean Zerillo's Betting Picks, Previews, Predictions for All 12 Fights Image

Radkte is well-rounded enough to keep the fight competitive – or potentially win the striking – even if he can't land takedowns.

Still, he should mix things up against Mathetha, who has more of a pure kickboxing skillset.

Diamond vs. Radtke Pick

Radtke doesn't have the best cardio, either.

And if he tries – and fails – to take down Diamond, he may gas himself out before the second half of the fight.

Take a small underdog shot on Mathetha – or Blood Diamond – depending on the book at +245 or better.

The Pick: Blood Diamond (+260, 0.25u at Caesars)

About the Author
Sean is a Senior Writer at The Action Network and a lawyer in the state of New York. He primarily covers baseball, synthesizing advanced metrics with traditional scouting techniques, and believes that Bartolo Colón's home run was the single greatest athletic achievement of our time.

Follow Sean Zerillo @SeanZerillo on Twitter/X.

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