UFC 297 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Yohan Lainesse vs. Sam Patterson: 4 Plays for Prelim Bout (Saturday, January 20)

UFC 297 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Yohan Lainesse vs. Sam Patterson: 4 Plays for Prelim Bout (Saturday, January 20) article feature image
Credit:

Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images. Pictured: UFC lightweight Sam Patterson of England

Yohan Lainesse vs. Sam Patterson Odds

Lainesse Odds
-142
Patterson Odds
+120
Over/Under
1.5 (+112 / -142)
Location
Scotiabank Arena in Toronto
Time
7:30 p.m. ET
Channel/Streaming
ESPN+
Odds as of Saturday and via FanDuel. Bet on UFC 297 with our FanDuel promo code

Here's everything you need to know about Yohan Lainesse vs. Sam Patterson at UFC 297 on Saturday, Jan. 20 – our expert UFC prediction and pick.

Yohan Lainasse and Sam Patterson are both looking to gain some ground in the UFC welterweight ranks.

Canada's Lainasse will have the crowd behind him as he looks to improve upon a mundane 1-2 run in the UFC. He now takes on former lightweight Patterson, who's looking for some new life with a move up to 170 pounds.

Here's a look at the  Lainesse vs. Patterson odds and my betting pick for the preliminary card fight.

Tale of the Tape

LainessePatterson
Record9-210-2-1
Avg. Fight Time7:295:17
Height6'1"6'3"
Weight (pounds)170 lbs.155 lbs.
Reach (inches)76"78"
StanceOrthodoxOrthodox
Date of birth8/14/19924/30/1996
Sig Strikes Per Min2.342.56
SS Accuracy42%36%
SS Absorbed Per Min3.443.98
SS Defense59%44%
Take Down Avg1.000.00
TD Acc28%0%
TD Def80%33%
Submission Avg0.52.8

Lainesse is a flawed fighter; he's neither a technical striker nor an effective grappler. He carries considerable power for about five to seven minutes, and then his cardio falls off a cliff.

Patterson, who is moving up from lightweight, is a bit chinny and will undoubtedly be susceptible to an early knockout loss from a powerful opponent.

UFC 297 Odds: Sean Zerillo's Betting Picks, Previews, Predictions for All 12 Fights Image

Still, he has vastly more ways of winning this fight, and I expect the change in weight class to improve his durability. Patterson had no business cutting to 155 pounds at 6-foot-3.

Despite the weight move, Patterson remains the taller and longer fighter, and he has Lainesse covered everywhere skills-wise in this matchup aside from pure punching power. And he only needs to be wary of that for about one round.

Lainesse vs. Patterson Pick

Patterson is my favorite bet on the card; my model put his moneyline at +115, but there's an argument that he should be favored, given the enormity of his win probability beyond Round 1.

Bet Patterson pre-fight and look to add more live after the opening round.

In the prop market, consider betting Patterson by submission (projected +330, listed +380) to win in Round 2 (+750) or Round 3 (+1400).

The Picks:

  • Sam Patterson (+130, 0.5u) at Caesars
  • Sam Patterson in Round 2 (+650, 0.1u) at Caesars
  • Sam Paterson in Round 3 (+1200, 0.05u) at Caesars
  • Sam Patterson Live after Round 1

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About the Author
Sean is a Senior Writer at The Action Network and a lawyer in the state of New York. He primarily covers baseball, synthesizing advanced metrics with traditional scouting techniques, and believes that Bartolo Colón's home run was the single greatest athletic achievement of our time.

Follow Sean Zerillo @SeanZerillo on Twitter/X.

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