UFC 299 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Katlyn Cerminara vs. Maycee Barber: 2 Betting Angles for Flyweight Contenders (Saturday, March 9)

UFC 299 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Katlyn Cerminara vs. Maycee Barber: 2 Betting Angles for Flyweight Contenders (Saturday, March 9) article feature image
Credit:

Josh Hedges/Zuffa. Pictured: UFC women’s flyweight Maycee Barber

Katlyn Cerminara vs. Maycee Barber Odds

Cerminara Odds
+160
Barber Odds
-190
Over/Under
2.5 (-370 / +260)
Location
Kaseya Center in Miami
Time
9 p.m. ET
TV
ESPNews
Odds as of Saturday afternoon and via FanDuel. Bet on UFC 299 with our FanDuel promo code.

Here's everything you need to know about the Katlyn Cerminara vs. Maycee Barber odds at UFC 299 – with our expert pick and prediction for Saturday, March 9.

Cerminara (formerly Chookagian) has been a mainstay of the UFC women's flyweight division since its founding. And, of course, the tough challenges will keep coming for her when she meets Barber on UFC 299's ESPN-televised prelims.

Cerminara recently snapped a four-fight winning streak with a setback to Manon Fiorot. But she can get right back on track if she can upset Barber, who's on a 5-0 run as she steadily climbs the division's ranks.

Tale of the Tape

CerminaraBarber
Record18-513-2
Avg. Fight Time14:0711:55
Height5'9"5'5"
Weight (pounds)125 lbs.125 lbs.
Reach (inches)68"65"
StanceOrthodoxSwitch
Date of birth12/28/19885/18/1998
Sig Strikes Per Min4.64.6
SS Accuracy34%52%
SS Absorbed Per Min4.412.72
SS Defense63%54%
Take Down Avg0.271.14
TD Acc15%35%
TD Def54%45%
Submission Avg0.30.1

Cerminara is an extremely solid top-five gatekeeper in the flyweight division. She has the tools to give Barber, who has scored numerous split decisions in her ascension, a difficult fight.

Cerminara is the more technical striker at range and has better footwork.

Still, physicality goes a long way in lighter-weight classes, and Cerminara doesn't have the power to stop Barber from crashing the pocket and bullying her in the clinch.

Barber is 10 years younger, more explosive, and has most of the offensive grappling upside. Chookagian's size advantage (four inches taller, three-inch reach) will be noticeable when she can extend on her straight punches. Still, Barber prefers to dirty box with opponents in a telephone booth or press opponents against the fence and wear on them, nullifying Cerminara's advantage.

Additionally, Maycee builds her pace well towards the end of her three-round fights, and she will seemingly excel throughout five rounds.

UFC 299: Our Experts' 4 Best Bets for Saturday Night's PPV Image

Cerminara vs. Barber Pick

Pre-fight, I would consider betting Cerminara on the moneyline (projected +170) at +185 or better, or play her decision prop (projected +200) down to +220.

However, I'd look to bet Barber live after Round 1 if she Cerminara behind.

Barber is tenacious and will double down on her aggressiveness if she's trailing.

The Picks: Katlyn Cerminara wins by Decision (+250, 0.2u) | Barber Live after Round 1

About the Author
Sean is a Senior Writer at The Action Network and a lawyer in the state of New York. He primarily covers baseball, synthesizing advanced metrics with traditional scouting techniques, and believes that Bartolo Colón's home run was the single greatest athletic achievement of our time.

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