For many MMA fans, fight night wouldn't be complete without a UFC 304 parlay bet or two to sweat.
UFC 304 takes place on Saturday at Co-op Live in Manchester, England. Following prelims on ESPN+ (6 p.m. ET) and then ESPN2 (8 p.m. ET), the five-fight UFC 304 main card kicks off on ESPN+ PPV at 10 p.m. ET.
UFC 304 features two title fights and a lot of local star power, and tonight's 14-fight lineup shouldn’t be short on violence.
Let's dig into my UFC parlays for Saturday.
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UFC 304 Parlay
On a pay-per-view lineup that has only two fights with totals that are juiced to the under, according to the latest UFC 304 odds, I have identified three spots on UFC 304 in which I expect a finish.
Parlaying all three fighters to win inside the distance will pay a handsome 5-to-1. Let’s dive in because you won’t want to wait to get some cash down on this potential winner.
Parlay Leg 1: Sam Patterson by finish (-280)
Sam Patterson is making the correct career choice in moving to welterweight, and I expect him to make another intelligent choice by pressing his massive grappling edge over Kiefer Crosbie. Crosbie possesses some power on the feet, and there are some questions regarding the durability of the lanky Patterson. However, I am not expecting Patterson to wait and see how things play out; Crosbie has looked lost on the ground.
Patterson should find a way to get to this to the mat, and that may be the only time he needs to do it because the fight is likely finished at that point. I am expecting a submission win for Patterson here, so if you want to increase your payout, feel free to play the sub only for this parlay leg. Patterson has won inside the distance in six of his last seven professional fights, and I am expecting another against the outmatched Crosbie.
Parlay Leg 2: Molly McCann by finish (+140)
Molly McCann is fighting in front of her home crowd, and she is going to want to put on a show. For her, putting on a show means pressing forward and finding a way to end this fight inside the distance.
McCann has the power to put away Bruna Brasil and has improved on the mat if the fight does hit the canvas. This is the perfect matchup for McCann to close the distance and either land power shots or takedowns en route to causing damage. Brasil does not react well to getting stung, and she can be controlled on the ground. It’s very easy to envision McCann feeding off the energy of the crowd on her way to her fourth consecutive finish in as many victories.
Parlay Leg 3: Nathaniel Wood by finish (-115)
Admittedly, I have no interest in Nathaniel Wood at his current moneyline price given both his durability concerns and his opponent's gas tank. Daniel Pineda has seen the judges scorecards in only one of his past 11 professional MMA fights.
Pineda has the tools to get an early finish, but if he fails to do so, Wood is going to put it on him. Pineda lacks both the cardio and durability to withstand 15 minutes with somebody the caliber of Wood. For Wood, this is a step down in competition, and his cardio edge in the later rounds is simply too big to ignore.
UFC 304 Parlay:
- Sam Patterson by KO/TKO/DQ or submission (-270)
- Molly McCann by KO/TKO/DQ or submission (+140)
- Nathaniel Wood by KO/TKO/DQ or submission (-115)
UFC 304 Parlay: +508 at DraftKings
UFC 304 Same Game Parlay
UFC same game parlays are a great way to correlate results to increase your potential payout at DraftKings. On Saturday night at UFC 304, the welterweight title is on the line as Belal Muhammad challenges reigning champion Leon Edwards, and that is where we will try to capitalize on an enhanced way to back the underdog.
Since the first matchup between Edwards and Muhammad, it seems the skill gap has closed between the two men, mainly because the challenger seems 100% intent on implementing a wrestling-heavy game plan. MMA fans have seen Belal transition to a grappler of the highest level with a base in wrestling that he has worked on tirelessly. I expect him to push his cardio edge to the fullest by going for takedowns from the opening bell. Muhammad will be relentless, and I expect him to land a takedown successfully in the first frame.
I do not expect the champion to go away easily. He knows what is coming, as well. Edwards has prepared in camps for the likes of Kamaru Usman and Colby Covington, so he has essentially been training grappling defense for a few years now. He should be able to get back to his feet. I do not think that will necessarily matter, though. If this fight gets extended, Muhammad knows it may be his only path to victory, so his only choices are to either wrestler or get pieced up on the feet.
If and when this fight gets extended, Muhammad will continue on his wrestling path, and 3 takedowns in total seems entirely reasonable. If this game plan is successful, we'll have seen the growth of Belal in his ability to get off damage while implementing such a blueprint, increasing his significant strikes landed in each of his last five fights for an average of 75 landed per bout during that time.
If this exact plan comes to fruition, obviously the challenger is well on his way to getting his hand raised.
Thus, my UFC 304 same-game parlay is:
- Belal Muhammad moneyline (3 Way)
- 3+ Muhammad total takedowns1+
- Muhammad total takedowns – Round 1
- 60+ Muhammad total significant strikes
UFC 304 SGP with Belal Muhammad: +700 at DraftKings
