Check out our UFC picks with our favorite long-shot UFC Edmonton props for Saturday, November 2.
UFC 308: Moreno vs. Albazi takes place today at Rogers Place in Edmonton Alberta, Canada. The preliminary card streams on ESPN+ beginning at 5 p.m. ET, with the main card at 9 p.m. ET .
With 14 fights in today's card, UFC Edmonton prop opportunities are plentiful, and the MMA Prop Squad has found four picks they like for the return to Canada.
As with all betting endeavors, always wager within your means. That guidance is especially important when dealing with prop bets. Although the props often offer tantalizing odds, they also cash far less frequently than standard bet types. And be sure to shop around for the best price since prop odds can vary substantially depending on the sportsbook.
UFC Edmonton odds for matchups as of Saturday and via DraftKings. Bet on UFC Edmonton with our DraftKings promo code!
UFC Edmonton Props – MMA Prop Squad Predictions
Sean Zerillo: Jack Shore vs. Youssef Zalal
Contributor at The Action Network
Fighter walkouts: 5:00 p.m. ET
Youssef Zalal has looked like a different fighter in his second UFC stint.
"The Moroccan Devil" fought to seven consecutive decisions during his initial promotional run between 2020 and 2022 but has earned five consecutive finishes since his release, including a pair of submissions against Billy Quarantillo and Jarno Errens since his return in March.
Zalal comes from a kickboxing background and used to stay on the outside and point fight, but he has proactively grappled in his recent matchups, emphasizing his improved physicality at age 28.
Jack Shore is a highly well-rounded fighter who can stay competitive with Zalal for 15 minutes, skill for skill. Still, Shore is a much lesser athlete and the more petite man (2 inches shorter, 1 inch reach discrepancy) after previously competing at bantamweight.
Zalal has much more finishing upside than Shore; I projected a finish as 40% of his win condition — double that of Shore (20%). Bet Zalal to win by finish or inside the distance to +250 (projected +233, listed +275 at DraftKings, and sprinkle his submission prop at +500 or better. (projected +434, listed +750 at FanDuel).
The Picks: Youssef Zalal wins Inside the Distance (+275 at DraftKings) | Youssef Zalal wins by Submission (+750 at FanDuel)
John LanFranca: Serhiy Sidey vs. Garret Armfield
Contributor at The Action Network
Fighter walkouts: Approx. 6:30 p.m. ET
I believe Serhiy Sidey is overpriced here in his matchup with Garrett Armfield. In particular, Armfield has the power advantage and it wouldn’t shock me if he is able to land some potential fight-ending shots in the early going. We are getting a great price to play the more explosive fighter in this spot, who has also proven to fare better against UFC-level competition.
Sidey is tall for the bantamweight division, standing at 5-foot-11, but he will enjoy just a two-inch reach advantage over the shorter Armfield. In Sidey’s last fight, he pressured relentlessly in the first round against a familiar opponent in Ramon Tavares. After a couple of minutes, it was clear Taveras settled in to the timing of the fight and was able to land numerous clean shots to the over-aggressive Sidey.
You never want to put too much stock in one bout, but Taveras is the only UFC-caliber fighter Sidey has faced. In the second half of round one, Sidey didn’t react well to a body shot, absorbed several straight left hands to the chin, and was stunned by an overhand right. Less than two minutes into round two, Sidey was again rocked, getting dropped by another straight left hand.
Armfield is coming off a loss in which he was clearly leading in the early rounds. If given the opening, he will pursue the finish against a fighter who has leaks in his defensive striking. You can find the play below under ‘KO/TKO Round Combos’ on FanDuel.
The Pick: Garrett Armfield by KO/TKO in Rounds 1 or 2 +490 (FanDuel)
Tony Sartori: Ariane Lipski vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius
Contributor at The Action Network
Fighter walkouts: Approx. 8:00 p.m. ET
Saturday's UFC prelims feature a flyweight bout between ranked contenders Ariane da Silva (+188) and Jasmine Jasudavicius (-240). The steam is on Jasudavicius, who opened as a -180 favorite and has since been bet up to her current price.
I agree with the steam, but I don't agree with the 10.53% implied probability of her +850 odds to win by KO/TKO. Jasudavicius has a pair of knockout victories at the professional level (plus another from her amateur days), and she absolutely possess the strength to put someone down.
That someone could be da Silva on Saturday evening, given that three of her past four losses have come by KO/TKO. The worry for this prop stems from the fact that Jasudavicius' game plan will likely feature take downs and wrestling, but I think that a TKO finish from top position via ground and pound is more likely than the odds reflect.
Montana de la Rosa and Antonina Shevchenko both beat da Silva in exactly that fashion: takedown, ground and pound from dominant position.
Jasudavicius is currently better than both of them, and I don't think there is only a 10.53% chance that history repeats itself. While Jasudavicius only brings in two wins by KO/TKO, Shevchenko also only had two knockout wins prior to finishing da Silva.
Meanwhile, de la Rosa had never knocked someone out prior to doing so against da Silva. The path is there for Jasudavicius, and at +850, it's worth taking a shot on her to win by KO/TKO.
The Pick: Jasmine Jasudavicius by KO/TKO (+850 at BetRivers)
Billy Ward: Caio Machado vs. Brendson Ribeiro
Staff Writer at The Action Network
Fighter walkouts: Approx. 9:00 p.m. ET
Brazilian-born but Canadian trained Caio Machado is now 0-2 in the UFC, with a "home game" of sorts on the books in an effort to get him on the right track.
The other news here is that Machado is dropping to light heavyweight, with his previous losses coming at heavyweight. Speaking from personal experience, dropping a weight class always feels like an easy lever to pull when things aren't going well. Now you get to presumably be bigger and stronger, after getting muscled around by larger opponents.
We call that "the fighter's false friend" for a reason, though. It's easy to pin your losses on being too small when there's technical deficiencies holding you back, for one. Why get better when you can just go on a diet? The other problem (particularly for heavyweights considering 205) is the speed and skill level difference between the weight classes.
The heavyweight limit is 265 lbs, with the fighters as the high end of that spectrum typically fairly one dimensional. It's also a (metaphorically) thin class, with bottom-tier fighters that wouldn't be UFC-level in other divisions. It's tougher at 205, where the competition is harder and the fighters are faster and better conditioned.
Machado looked relatively slow at heavyweight, and now faces the quick, aggressive, Brendson Ribeiro. Ribeiro has finished all 15 of his pro wins, with only three of those making it to the second round.
If Machado can slow things down and extend the fight, he's the deserving favorite. That's a big if, though, and I expect Ribeiro to be on the gas early. The official pick is Ribeiro Round 1, but any version of Ribeiro early makes sense, too.
The Pick: Brendson Ribeiro R1 +500 (FanDuel)
