Wang Cong and Bruna Brasil will face off as part of the UFC 312 prelims on Saturday, Feb. 8.
Wang (6-1) is 2-1 in the UFC but lost her last fight in November. Brasil (10-4-1) is 2-2 in the promotion but beat Molly McCann her last time out back in July.
Here's my Cong vs. Brasil prediction.
Wang Cong vs. Bruna Brasil UFC 312 Odds
| Women's Flyweight Bout | Odds |
|---|---|
| Wang Odds | -355 |
| Brasil Odds | +280 |
| Over/under rounds | 2.5 (-180 / +140) |
UFC 312 odds via DraftKings as of Friday. Bet on UFC 312 with our DraftKings promo code.
Cong vs. Brasil Prediction, Pick
Cong Wang is a sizable favorite yet again after an upset loss against Gabriella Fernandez in November, where she closed as high as -1400, one of the biggest upsets in promotional history:
Bruna Brasil is moving up in weight after an upset win of her own (closed +275) against Molly McCann — where she showed much improved offensive grappling.
Brasil was always big for 115 and is the same size on paper as Cong (1" reach discrepancy). Moreover, she likely has the grappling advantage in this fight as the underdog. Brasil typically struggles when getting outgrappled by her opponents. Still, if she can settle into a low-tempo kickboxing match and mix in some takedowns, she should make this matchup far more competitive than the line suggests.
I doubt Cong will let her settle in. The favorite is reckless in her approach and should continue stalking her opponent for the duration. Brasil may need to hit reactive takedowns to counter that momentum.
I'd want +325 (23.5% implied) or higher to bet Brasil on the moneyline (projected +294, 25.4% implied) against a dangerous but one-dimensional striker.
Additionally, for round-robin purposes, I'm interested in Brasil's odds of winning by decision (projected +556, listed +700) or submission (projected +1131, listed +1400).
Pick: Wait for +325 on Bruna Brasil
