Check out the latest F1 odds with Canadian Grand Prix predictions and picks for the race on Sunday, June 9.
As we head into the first F1 race of June, it is hard to believe that the season is already a third of the way through. The drivers and teams head back across the pond to Montreal for the F1 Canadian Grand Prix today (2 p.m. ET, ABC & ESPN+).
The Circuit Gilles Villeneuve is an old-school racing circuit that is narrow, runs fast down the straights, and has many slow-speed corners. The track will host its 43rd grand prix today and 53rd overall in Canada.
Qualifying on Saturday afternoon took place under mostly dry conditions. We had spots of rain in places around the track but never enough to affect the drivers or require them to run without the slick tires. For today's F1 race, we have a 50% chance of rain and thunderstorms, which could provide an extra layer of team strategy to get the call right during the race.
Of the big names, Sergio Perez failed to get out of Q1, and both Ferrari drivers will start in the back half of the grid. Carlos Sainz Jr. and recent race winner Charles Leclerc both lacked the pace during the session and will start P12 and P11, respectively.
At the top of the grid, George Russell and Max Verstappen posted the exact same lap time in Q3, a 1:12.000, with Russell doing it first and gaining pole position for the race. Both McLarens will start on the second row with Lando Norris 0.021 seconds back of the front two cars in qualifying. With the absence of Ferrari in Q3, both Visa Cash App RBs made it all the way and will start P5 and P8.
Here are the F1 odds for Sunday's Canadian Grand Prix outright winner, as of Sunday midday and via bet365:
- Max Verstappen: -150
- George Russell: +400
- Lando Norris: +400
- Oscar Piastri: +1400
- Lewis Hamilton: +1600
- Charles Leclerc: +4000
- Fernando Alonso: +6600
- Carlos Sainz Jr.: +8000
- Daniel Ricciardo: +15000
- Lance Stroll: +20000
- Yuki Tsunoda: +25000
- Alexander Albon: +25000
- Sergio Perez: +25000
- Logan Sargeant +100000
- Kevin Magnussen: +100000
- Pierre Gasly: +100000
- Valtteri Botas: +20000
- Nico Hulkenberg: +25000
- Esteban Ocon: +30000
- Zhou Guanyu: +30000
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F1 Odds: Picks & Predictions for Canadian Grand Prix
Yuki Tsunoda Matchup
Yuki Tsunoda will start the F1 Canadian Grand Prix in P8 after a very successful qualifying session for the team. While his fastest lap of Q3 was slower than his Q2 fastest lap, Tsunoda still showed plenty of pace on a track that should suit the Racing Bulls.
When comparing his lap times to teammate Daniel Ricciardo, Tsunoda was 0.492 seconds quicker in Q1 and 0.269 seconds faster in Q2. Although Ricciardo will start three spots ahead of Tsunoda, the Japanese driver can overcome the gap between the two during the course of 70 laps.
Over the first eight races of the season, Tsunoda earned 19 points and is in 10th place in the 2024 Drivers Standings. He has five points finishes overall – all in the last six races. Compare that to Ricciardo, who does not have a top-10 finish in a full race thus far (and only five points from a fourth-place finish in the sprint race down in Miami a month ago).
Ricciardo has only one race finish above Tsunoda so far in 2024, and that came all the way back in Round 1 in Bahrain. They both retired in China, and Tsunoda has six finishes above his teammate.
Despite being behind on the starting grid, I expect this trend to continue in Canada. Yuki has been the far superior driver this season, and the plus-money value in this head-to-head matchup is too great to pass up.
The Pick: Yuki Tsunoda over Daniel Ricciardo (1 unit, +150 on BetMGM)
Number of Race Leaders
The 2023 F1 Canadian Grand Prix saw polesitter Max Verstappen lead all 70 laps and win for the second year in a row. Over the last seven editions of this race, six winners have won from pole position, and the other won from starting in P2.
I see this race going against the grain of recent history. With George Russell upsetting Verstappen for pole position, albeit with the exact same lap time in Q3, there have been signs lately that the chasing teams are getting closer to Red Bull.
With the two McLarens in great form and on the heels of the front-row cars, I expect all four drivers and their teams to have a chance to win the race. This would lead to varying tire strategies and pit-stop strategies to try to gain the slightest edge.
There is a non-zero chance that Verstappen overtakes Russell on the opening lap and runs away from the pack, but I do not see this being a likely race scenario. More than likely, there will be multiple race leaders across the 70 laps, and I am more than comfortable laying the -200 for this bet.
With the threat of rain all afternoon, the likelihood of a safety car bunching up the pack during the race, and with the strong drivers at the top of the grid, I expect to see multiple drivers jockeying for position at the top all day.
Let's bet on multiple leaders in today's F1 race.
