2021 Portuguese Grand Prix Odds
Odds via PointsBet, and with the juice removed.
| Driver | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | +135 | 38.13% |
| Lewis Hamilton | +155 | 35.14% |
| Valtteri Bottas | +1000 | 8.14% |
| Sergio Perez | +1000 | 8.14% |
| Charles Leclerc | +3500 | 2.49% |
| Lando Norris | +4000 | 2.19% |
| Pierre Gasly | +7000 | 1.26% |
| Daniel Ricciardo | +7000 | 1.26% |
| Carlos Sainz Jr | +8000 | 1.11% |
| Yuki Tsunoda | +25000 | 0.36% |
| Fernando Alonso | +50000 | 0.18% |
| Esteban Ocon | +50000 | 0.18% |
| Lance Stroll | +50000 | 0.18% |
| Sebastian Vettel | +50000 | 0.18% |
| George Russell | +50000 | 0.18% |
| Antonio Giovinazzi | +50000 | 0.18% |
| Kimi Raikkonen | +50000 | 0.18% |
| Nicholas Latifi | +50000 | 0.18% |
| Mick Schumacher | +50000 | 0.18% |
| Nikita Mazepin | +50000 | 0.18% |
Formula 1 is back after a week break with Sunday's Portuguese Grand Prix at Algarve International Circuit. It begins at 10 a.m. ET and will be broadcast in the United States on ESPN.
Red Bull's Max Verstappen is the favorite at PointsBet at +135 ($100 wins $135) with Mercedes' Lewis Hamilton just behind at +155.
The Portuguese Grand Prix returned in 2020 after more than 20 years off. Hamilton won last season, with teammate Valtteri Bottas second and Verstappen third. Hamilton beat Bottas by 25.592 seconds, the second-biggest margin of last season, despite a slow start on medium tires.
At Bet365, Hamilton and Verstappen are tied atop the odds board at +120 ($100 wins $120). Their teammates Bottas and Sergio Perez the only other drivers close to the top at 8-1. Ferrari's Charles LeClerc (33-1) and AlphaTauri's Pierre Gasly (50-1) are the other drivers under 100-1.
At many other sportsbooks, Verstappen is the slight favorite. He's +130 at DraftKings with Hamilton at +160. PointsBet has Verstappen +135, with Hamilton +155.
Verstappen won the Emilia Romagna Grand Prix at Imola in dominant fashion last week, with Hamilton finishing second in a thrilling comeback to remain one point up in the Driver's Championship. Hamilton won the season-opener in Bahrain.
Portuguese Grand Prix Schedule
Bottas was fastest in FP1 on Friday morning, nipping Verstappen by .025 seconds. Hamilton was fifth, with Red Bull's Perez third and Ferrari's LeClerc fourth.
Bottas was actually the fastest car in practice at this race last year, but Hamilton took the pole and won the race handily.
The biggest surprise from Friday's first practice session was Williams' George Russell as the seventh-fastest car.
- Practice 1: 7 a.m. ET Friday
- Practice 2: 10 a.m. ET Friday
- Practice 3: 7 a.m. ET Saturday
- Qualifying: 10 a.m. ET Saturday
- Race: Sunday, 10 a.m. ET
Odds to Win Pole
Verstappen is a heavier favorite to win pole position at PointsBet than he is to win the race.
Hamilton and Verstappen have split poles so far this season — Merc's No. 1 car took it at Imola but finished second in the race, while Red Bull was on pole position in the opener at Bahrain but lost the race.
As we noted above, Bottas had the fastest car in practice sessions at this track last year, but ultimately lost out to Hamilton in two of the three qualifying periods to start second on the grid.
| Driver | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | -120 | 43.82% |
| Lewis Hamilton | +195 | 27.23% |
| Valtteri Bottas | +625 | 11.08% |
| Sergio Perez | +850 | 8.46% |
| Lando Norris | +3500 | 2.23% |
| Charles Leclerc | +4000 | 1.96% |
| Pierre Gasly | +7000 | 1.13% |
| Daniel Ricciardo | +8000 | 0.99% |
| Carlos Sainz Jr | +10000 | 0.80% |
| Yuki Tsunoda | +15000 | 0.53% |
| George Russell | +25000 | 0.32% |
| Esteban Ocon | +50000 | 0.16% |
| Lance Stroll | +50000 | 0.16% |
| Antonio Giovinazzi | +50000 | 0.16% |
| Nicholas Latifi | +50000 | 0.16% |
| Mick Schumacher | +50000 | 0.16% |
| Fernando Alonso | +50000 | 0.16% |
| Nikita Mazepin | +50000 | 0.16% |
| Kimi Raikkonen | +50000 | 0.16% |
| Sebastian Vettel | +50000 | 0.16% |
Odds to Finish on the Podium
Hamilton actually has a better chance to hit the podium than Verstappen at -400 (nearly a 70% probability). Their teammates are closer to even money, with McLaren's Lando Norris next at +300.
Norris has run well to start 2021, with a podium finish at Imola.
| Driver | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Lewis Hamilton | -400 | 69.23% |
| Max Verstappen | -350 | 67.31% |
| Sergio Perez | +105 | 42.22% |
| Valtteri Bottas | +110 | 41.21% |
| Lando Norris | +300 | 21.64% |
| Charles Leclerc | +400 | 17.31% |
| Pierre Gasly | +750 | 10.18% |
| Daniel Ricciardo | +750 | 10.18% |
| Carlos Sainz Jr | +800 | 9.62% |
| Yuki Tsunoda | +2200 | 3.76% |
| Lance Stroll | +5000 | 1.70% |
| Fernando Alonso | +5000 | 1.70% |
| Sebastian Vettel | +5000 | 1.70% |
| Esteban Ocon | +9000 | 0.95% |
| Antonio Giovinazzi | +35000 | 0.25% |
| George Russell | +35000 | 0.25% |
| Kimi Raikkonen | +35000 | 0.25% |
| Nicholas Latifi | +40000 | 0.22% |
| Mick Schumacher | +50000 | 0.17% |
| Nikita Mazepin | +50000 | 0.17% |
