Splitting two weekends at Daytona (one on the road course and one on the oval) is this week's Saturday and Sunday NASCAR Cup Series doubleheader at Dover International Speedway.
Dover is a one-mile, highly-banked concrete oval, meaning teams will be running the higher-horsepower, lower-downforce short-track package seen most recently at New Hampshire.
It's important to note that both races this weekend, including Saturday's Drydene 311 (4 p.m. ET, NBCSN) will be 311 laps compared to the traditional 400 laps run at the track nicknamed the "Monster Mile."
Be sure to follow me on Twitter (@PJWalsh24) for any additional bets I make for the weekend races at Dover.
NASCAR at Dover Odds, Betting Picks
Note: Odds as of Friday 8 a.m. ET.
Kevin Harvick (+400)
In the four races at Dover from 2017-18, Harvick ran the most fast laps, led the most laps and had the top driver rating. As I mentioned above, the package teams will run this weekend is close to that used at Dover prior to 2019, so it's reasonable to assume crew chief Rodney Childers and crew will bring similar speed.
And while his 10th-place starting spot isn't perfect, it's close enough to drive to the lead if his car does have the speed we expect.
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Clint Bowyer (+4000)
Harvick's Stewart-Haas Racing teammate was also fast at Dover in 2017-18, highlighted by the fifth-best driver rating across all four races.
Bowyer has an optimal starting position (fourth) on Saturday, meaning he should be able to keep touch with the leaders if he has similar top-five speed to previous years.
Do I expect Bowyer to drive to the front and dominate this race? No. But at 40-1 odds, it's reasonable that the No. 14 Ford can parlay a great starting position, a solid pit stall and a fast race car into contention at a very enticing price.
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