NASCAR's Quaker State 400 (2:30 p.m. ET, FS1) at Kentucky Speedway not only marks a return to a 1.5-mile race track, but it's also the first at a low tire wear intermediate since two races at Charlotte Motor Speedway back in May.
With so many short betting favorites, there are solid options further down the odds board.
However, Kentucky has not been home to longshot winners since landing on the Cup Series schedule in 2011, so taking advantage of long odds by way of props is a smart way to find value.
Three drivers in particular have caught my attention, and I'm betting each for top-10 finishes in Sunday's Quaker State 400.
Follow me on Twitter (@PJWalsh24) for an additional bets I make for tonight's race.
NASCAR at Kentucky Odds, Prop Betting Picks
Odds as of Saturday at 2 p.m. ET and via BetMGM. Get an INSTANT $500 deposit match at BetMGM today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks.
Aric Almirola (+115) for a Top-10 Finish
Back to the well once again!
Almirola now has top-five finishes in his last five races, had the sixth-best driver rating at Kentucky last season and starts fourth on Sunday at a circuit where track position is essential.
I've got nothing else to say about Almriola because that's all I need to bet this.
Matt DiBenedetto (+195) for a Top-10 Finish
The Wood Brothers' No. 21 Ford has gotten better and better as the season has progressed, improving to a borderline top-10 car week in and week out.
But what really convinced me to make this bet is DiBenedetto's second-place finish at Las Vegas earlier this year, a smooth 1.5-mile track (like Kentucky) that used the same tire combination teams will run in Sunday's Quaker State 400.
And the icing on the cake is a 10th-place starting spot, putting him toward the front of the field with that coveted track position.
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (+700) for a Top-10 Finish
Stenhouse has three top-fives this season, with a runner-up finish at Talladega not at all surprising.
However, his other two top-five finishes came at Las Vegas and Charlotte, which are the closest comps to Kentucky on the schedule so far this season. And with a 14th-place starting spot on Sunday's grid, I'm willing to take the 7-1 price that Ricky will have the track position and speed to contend for a top-10 result.
