The Daytona 500 is officially in the books, meaning it's time to turn our attention to NASCAR odds for Sunday's Ambetter Health 400 (3 p.m. ET on FOX) at Atlanta Motor Speedway.
While the track may be different, I'm bringing a very similar approach to NASCAR odds for Atlanta as I did for the Daytona 500.
Both of these tracks are considered superspeedways, which are historically very unpredictable.
When it comes to making NASCAR picks at superspeedways I tend to go much lighter than I do at other tracks where it's easier to predict performance, which is exactly my strategy for Sunday's race at Atlanta.
Still, there's a 40-1 long-shot pick floating out there that's simply too good to pass up.
NASCAR Odds for Atlanta, 40-1 Long-Shot Pick
*Odds as of Saturday night
I'm quite surprised to see a driver like Tyler Reddick available at 40-1 odds (ESPN BET) heading into Sunday's race.
Yes, Reddick and the entire Toyota organization struggled in qualifying, but likely sacrificed one-lap speed for handling, which could very well give them an advantage on older tires at Atlanta.
Does qualifying matter? Sure. But at a track like Atlanta it's not as important as non-superspeedway tracks, especially for cars set up to race well as opposed to posting one fast lap for starting position.
Reddick is also no slouch on superspeedways, notching a win at Talladega and a sixth-place finish at Atlanta, as well as a runner-up finish in last weekend's Daytona 500.
To be frank, I'm looking for reasons to talk myself out of this bet, but backing a driver with Reddick's talent, in very fast 23XI Racing equipment and with recent success on superspeedways at a long-shot price of 40-1 is a bet I'm willing to make.
NASCAR Pick: Tyler Reddick (40-1) to Win — ESPN Bet
