The second race of NASCAR's Saturday doubleheader at Homestead-Miami Speedway gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET (FS1) with the Gander RV & Outdoors Truck Series' Baptist Health 200.
While this race marks just the fifth Truck series race of the season, it will be the fourth run at a 1.5-mile racetrack, meaning there's a nice sample of data to analyze in order to pinpoint betting value.
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With Kyle Busch and Chase Elliott in the field, I'm not all that intrigued with futures value, but do like a head-to-head driver matchup for the Baptist Health 200.
Be sure to follow me on Twitter (@PJWalsh24) for any additional bets I add for Homestead.
NASCAR Truck Series at Homestead Odds, Betting Pick
Odds as of Saturday at 7:45 a.m. ET and via DraftKings. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks.
Stewart Friesen's team, Halmar Friesen Racing, made an offseason manufacturer switch from Chevrolet to Toyota and is experiencing growing pains with the new equipment.
In three races at 1.5-mile tracks (Las Vegas Motor Speedway, Charlotte Motor Speedway and Atlanta Motor Speedway) this season, Friesen has managed driver ratings of just 17th, 22nd and 16th.
On the other hand, Todd Gilliland has ranked sixth, 16th and seventh in driver rating at those three racetracks, and don't let his skewed number of 16th at Charlotte fool you.
Despite ranking just 16th best, Gilliland was easily a top-10 truck at Charlotte before getting taken out in an accident while running in fourth place with just 32 laps to go.
Gilliland has been better than Friesen at each of the three 1.5-mile tracks this season, and in terms of speed, it hasn't been close.
