Auburn vs. Oregon State Odds
Auburn vs. Oregon State Probable Pitchers & Projections
- Saturday: Trace Bright (Auburn) vs. Cooper Hjerpe (Oregon State) | Oregon State -980 · Total: 10
- Sunday: Jake Pfennigs (Oregon State) vs. Joseph Gonzalez (Auburn) | Oregon State -270 · Total 10
- Monday (if needed): Mason Barnett (Auburn) vs. Jacob Kmatz (Oregon State) | Oregon State -270 · Total 10
There was no shortage of Regional drama for the RPI’s second-best team in the nation.
Oregon State and Jacob Kmatz were steamrolled in a loss to Vanderbilt Sunday night, setting up the Regional finale for Monday. The Commodores put the Beavers on the ropes after chasing off starter Jaren Hunter in the fourth inning and posting additional runs on Ben Ferrer and Reid Sebby.
When Oregon State needed it the most, one of the nation’s best in Cooper Hjerpe struck out five of the six batters he faced.
Cooper Hjerpe SLAMS the door and Oregon State advances to SUPERS pic.twitter.com/ueynYqzoYn
— 11Point7: The College Baseball Podcast 🎙 (@11point7) June 6, 2022
After a shocking selection as a Regional host, Auburn clubbed 51 runs in three games to advance to the Supers. The Tigers threw 11 runs on the UCLA staff on Sunday — the same staff that gave up 22 runs to Oregon State on May 28.
Auburn will leave the friendly confines of home for Corvallis to face a Beavers’ pitching staff that ranks top-10 in WHIP.
Sonny DiChiara and Bobby Peirce anchor the lineup for Auburn, but the question remains whether or not Hjerpe starts Friday night after tossing 32 pitches Monday.
Auburn’s best pitcher from an ERA and FIP perspective is Joseph Gonzalez, who’s expected to throw in Game 2 of the Supers on Saturday.
The Super Regional price favors Oregon State at 89%, far beyond the posted line from DraftKings at -155.
Considering Auburn’s Park Factor number of 1.19 (based off five years of conference play), there may be a reason to think the Tigers’ bats don’t translate on the road.
The Auburn pitching staff will keep the ball in the yard, but Oregon State’s consistent ability to get on base will create plenty of scoring opportunities.
Take the Beavers and look for any hedge after Hjerpe’s start.
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Picks: Oregon State -155 (Play to -225)
