Charlottesville Regional Odds
 | Virginia Cavaliers | -120 |
 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | +130 |
 | St. John's Red Storm | +1300 |
 | Penn Quakers | +2500 |
The star of the Charlottesville Regional will be Davenport Field at Disharoon Park. No other Regional has a higher number in terms of Park Factors than Virginia, indicating there could be a healthy amount of runs in the forecast.
The Cavaliers have the upper hand in the power department, as no other team sits inside the top 100 in home runs per game or slugging percentage. Sophomore outfielder Harrison Didawick leads the team in the triple crown categories, recently hitting a home run in five straight games.
Outside of starter Evan Blanco, Virginia has struggled as a pitching staff, including both the starters and bullpen.
Mississippi State had a positive trip to Hoover for the SEC Tournament, securing a 2-seed with wins over Ole Miss and Texas A&M. The Bulldogs would go on to lose to Tennessee and Vanderbilt by a single run, proving the 2021 national champions can compete with any team in the nation.
Khal Stephen leads a staff that's top-15 nationally in ERA and WHIP. In addition to Stephen, Day 2 ambidextrous starter Jurrangelo Cijntje hasn't given up more than three earned runs since March 17.
Jurrangelo Cijntje, BHP.
Lefty & Righty Breaking Balls. pic.twitter.com/I2G0SGmqj8
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) February 19, 2024
St. John's won three straight games to take home the Big East Tournament championship, raising its RPI ranking to 51st.
The Red Storm struggled in nonconference play with recent losses to Fairleigh Dickinson, Fairfield and Rutgers. With one of the softest strength of schedules in the field, St. John's managed a ranking of just 238th in home runs per game.
Considering Disharoon Park is a launch pad for home runs, the winner of this Regional must be a team that can create instant offense.
Virginia will be favored in head-to-head games against Mississippi State. Blanco and Joe Savino project as minimum -130 favorites against Stephen and Cijntje.
The biggest difference between the two is the rate of scoring, an element that's needed in Charlottesville.
The Bulldogs rank outside the top 100 in most power categories, giving the Hoos a 54% chance and -130 price to win their home Regional.
Pick: Virginia +100 or Better
Read Collin Wilson's full college baseball betting preview for the 2024 NCAA Regionals here.
