Clemson vs Florida Odds
 | Clemson Tigers Odds | -170 |
 | Florida Gators Odds | +132 |
Read Collin Wilson's full college baseball betting preview for the 2024 NCAA Super Regionals here.
Straight from the "Big Bets on Campus" podcast with respect to Regionals, the mathematics liked Oklahoma State, while the betting senses preferred Florida in the Stillwater Regional.
The Gators are impossible to quantify, generating the highest strength of schedule of any Division I program. Head coach Kevin O'Sullivan experienced a post-Omaha hangover, teetering around .500 for much of the season.
Turnover in the pitching staff caused plenty of headaches in early-season losses to Saint Mary's, Jacksonville and Missouri. Florida entered the season with inexperienced underclassmen looking to claim a starting spot. Fast forward to Regionals, and the Gators advanced thanks to wins from freshman Liam Peterson and sophomore Pierce Coppola.
Florida wins 1st game of Stillwater Regional, 5-2 vs Nebraska
Freshman RHP Liam Peterson showed dynamic stuff earning win for @GatorsBB, ultra projectable firing 96-99 mph FBs early with a sharp 83-85 SL, an 84-85 CH and a 74-79 CB, 1st of 7 Ks in 5.1 IP ⤵️ pic.twitter.com/6kQaSNpmGH
— Patrick Ebert (@PatrickEbert44) May 31, 2024
Clemson left no doubt in its home Regional this past weekend, recording three straight wins over High Point and Coastal Carolina.
Head coach Erik Bakich will attempt to do with Clemson what he did with Michigan in 2019: reach the championship series of the College World Series. The Tigers haven't been to Omaha since 2010, failing to win a national title in 12 trips to the CWS.
Similar to other Regionals, Clemson advanced thanks to the backend of its bullpen. Austin Gordon and Lucas Mahlstedt form a lethal combination that shut down two one-run games this past weekend.
The question for this Super is the exact question that existed heading into the Stillwater Regional: Does the math support another upset from Florida?
Game 3 starter Coppola brings an ERA of 9.16, while a bevy of staff pitchers who lead in appearances have bloated numbers. Luke McNeillie, Cade Fisher and Blake Purnell all own an ERA north of seven.
When Florida's numbers include the names mentioned above, the series price comes out to Clemson -220.
All that said, Florida has the closest living reincarnation of Shohei Ohtani in college baseball.
Jac Caglianone swats home run No. 31 behind a reported 119 mph exit velocity!
MLB's No. 3 Draft prospect boasts 70-grade power and stands alone with multiple 30-homer seasons in the SEC: https://t.co/6LF3g2ljln
(🎥: @GatorsBB)pic.twitter.com/loC7wATqvC
— MLB Pipeline (@MLBPipeline) June 2, 2024
For this Super only, more weight can be placed on Jac Caglianone's projected start in Game 2 against freshman Aidan Knaak if Game 3 numbers are removed. Without Coppola and the bullpen ERA calculated from Game 3, Clemson's series price dips from -220 to -150.
This Florida team full of freshmen has yet to find its ceiling. Giving the Gators a chip and a chair not only calls for a wager on the series but also any national title odds greater than 30-1.
Pick: Florida +150 or Better
