Fayetteville Regional Odds
 | Arkansas Razorbacks | -210 |
 | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | +450 |
 | Kansas State Wildcats | +450 |
 | Southeast Missouri Redhawk | +2500 |
Read Collin Wilson's full college baseball betting preview for the 2024 NCAA Regionals here.
The selection committee might have thrown the Razorbacks a bone after they showed considerable issues in the month of May.
Arkansas was expected to have the best pitching staff in the nation — a billing that ace Hagen Smith lived up to all season. Secondary starters Brady Tygart and Mason Molina were ripped down the stretch, leading to series losses against Texas A&M, Kentucky and Alabama.
The Hogs were rattled in their last home series against Mississippi State, needing a sluggish offense to win the series. The Razorbacks continue to post some of the lowest offensive numbers in BaseRuns, runs per game, on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
Baum-Walker Stadium is a pitcher's park, but Tygart and Molina have to get back to form if the Hogs want to return to Omaha.
Brady Tygart has a 7.05 ERA in his last 4 starts against South Carolina, Florida, Kentucky, and Mississippi State
— Noah Bieniek (@NoahB77_) May 15, 2024
Louisiana Tech had a chance to shake up the Conference USA standings, holding tiebreakers from a series victory over Dallas Baptist. However, the Bulldogs didn't catch the Patriots until the Conference USA Championship game, where Dallas Baptist put up two touchdowns and a field goal.
Head coach Lane Burroughs threw every quality pitcher on staff, but they gave up 17 runs in the loss. Louisiana Tech will have a sour taste in its mouth and a 3-6 Quad I record as it heads up Interstate 49 to Fayetteville.
Kansas State was a team with long preseason odds to win it all, but it slid into the postseason ahead of TCU and Charleston.
The Wildcats were left out in 2023 but now have an opportunity to cash in for 27-year head coach Pete Hughes.
The most beneficial move of the season was getting more innings for closer Jackson Wentworth. The sophomore was taken out of that role, which generated six saves, and was moved into the Day 2 starting role. Wentworth has been electric, racking up 107 strikeouts in just 75 innings pitched this season.
No other pitcher can contend with Smith when he takes the mound for the Razorbacks, generating prices from -350 to -600 depending on the opponent.
Where Fayetteville gets interesting is the projected prices against Molina and Tygart, as the anchors for Louisiana Tech and Kansas State project at -110 against Arkansas' starters not named Smith.
The Razorbacks have a series price of 67%, making anything above -210 to win the Regional overpriced. The great news for Arkansas is that none of these teams possess the offensive firepower to create and maintain a lead.
Look for Arkansas to claw this one out, but look for a lower-sized bet at any price above -210.
Pick: Arkansas -250 or Better
