Knoxville Regional Odds
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The college baseball world is essentially 292 Division I programs versus the Tennessee Volunteers.
Head coach Tony Vitello has had a target on his team since the season started, losing just five games through all weekend series in 2022. The Volunteers finished No. 1 in RPI despite a nonconference strength of schedule rank of 225th. Tennessee has performed well when tested, shown by a 22-4 record against the RPI top 50.
Alabama State will send staff ace Breon Pooler in a game that has plenty of value for the Hornets. Tennessee -3200 should be lined closer to -800 with Blade Tidwell or Chase Dollander on the mound, making Alabama State +1200 almost a required play for Chipotle money.
The Hornets are sure to end up in the Knoxville losers’ bracket fighting for their postseason lives against Georgia Tech or Campbell.
The Camels were the one lower seed that could have sneaked in a Regional victory in any location other than Knoxville. Thomas Harrington has been one of the best pitchers in the nation for a Campbell team that supplies plenty of run support.
Georgia Tech will counter with John Medich or Marquis Grissom Jr. on Friday with a projected line of -110. Campbell +125 against the Yellow Jackets is one of the first plays that should be made before opening action.
The size of the wager should increase with Medich as the Georgia Tech starter. The sixth-year senior has been lit up for 11 earned runs in his past two appearances.
The chances of the Camels defeating the Volunteers begin with pitcher Cade Boxrucker in a possible winners’ bracket game. Tennessee is projected at -440 with Tidewell or Dollander facing Boxrucker, but the Vols will certainly be inflated in the market.
The biggest upset in college baseball history may be a Campbell victory in Knoxville, but the safest play is a small wager on the home team with a hedge against the Camels.
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Pick: Tennessee -525 (Hedge vs. Campbell on Saturday)
