Louisville Regional Odds
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Congratulations are in order for Southeast Missouri State, winners of the Ohio Valley Conference Tournament after fighting back from the losers’ bracket.
A game against Louisville awaits in a Regional that expects plenty of runs from a park factors perspective. The Cardinals scored an abundance of runs at home this season, as a top-15 rank in on-base and slugging indicates a few pitching staffs may light up come Friday.
What Louisville lacks in pitching is more than made up with home runs from the lineup, but the Cardinals should be lined closer to -580 in the opener against the Redhawks.
Oregon was one of the streakiest teams in the nation, rattling off seven straight wins in mid-April before losing six straight to start the month of May. Victories over Gonzaga and Arizona down the stretch show the Ducks are ready for the postseason after playing a top-10 schedule in terms of opponent strength.
Michigan had the opposite effect from a scheduling perspective, as Big Ten play and a non-conference strength of schedule rank of 69th left the Wolverines without any signature victories.
DraftKings has Oregon at -220, but the projection of Christian Ciuffetelli against Michigan’s Connor O’Halloran should be the Ducks -140.
The Ducks will advance thanks to elite fielding and better hitting, but a head-to-head matchup with Louisville yields an underdog projection of +210. This is one of the rare Regionals where the favorite is properly priced.
Take the Cardinals +100 to advance behind an elite offense and the arms of Jared Poland and Tate Kuehner.
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Pick: Louisville to Win Louisville Regional (+100)
