Ole Miss vs. Southern Miss Odds
Ole Miss vs. Southern Miss Probable Pitchers & Projections
- Saturday: Dylan DeLucia (Ole Miss) vs. Tanner Hall (Southern Miss) | Southern Miss -450 · Total: 8.8
- Sunday: Hurston Waldrep (Southern Miss) vs. Hunter Elliott (Ole Miss) | Southern Miss -230 · Total 8.2
- Monday (if needed): Derek Diamond (Ole Miss) vs. Hunter Riggins (Southern Miss) | Southern Miss -470 · Total 9.5
An Ole Miss team that was struggling to qualify for the SEC Tournament in late April slides into the Super Regionals against a non-Power Five program from its own state.
The Rebels made quick work of a Coral Gables Regional that was delayed by weather. Ole Miss beat Arizona twice, but the winners’ bracket game against Miami is more telling of how far the Rebels can go.
Ole Miss generated four walks and rung up one of the nation’s best pitchers in Carson Palmquist (Miami) to 93 pitches before his exit in the sixth inning.
From there, Ole Miss put two runs up on reliever Alex McFarlane, good enough to cover a masterful performance from Hunter Elliott and his eight strikeouts. The Ole Miss bats are led by the hottest hitter in the nation in Tim Elko.
Ok then, Tim.
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— Ole Miss Baseball (@OleMissBSB) June 7, 2022
Southern Mississippi will look to continue its path for its second trip to Omaha in program history.
The Golden Eagles have arguably the best starting staff in the nation in Hurston Waldrep, Tanner Hall and Hunter Riggins. None of those pitchers own an ERA over 3.00, with Riggins having the highest FIP of the trio at 3.25.
This is the second ranked staff in ERA and the top team nationally in strikeout-to-walk ratio.
Backed by the lowest Park Factors of any Super Regional host, Southern Miss is in prime position to advance through home-field advantage at Hill Denson Field.
The series start on Saturday helps Southern Miss rest arms after a five-game schedule throughout Regionals. Specifically, Hall threw two innings and 32 pitches on Monday after burning through 109 Friday night.
Based on the pitching projections, Southern Miss should be heavy favorites in all games, particularly against Dylan DeLucia and Derek Diamond, who both support FIPs over 5.00.
The series price favors Southern Miss at 88%, which correlates to odds of -600. DraftKings was quick to throw up a number of pick’em between the Rebels and Golden Eagles.
Considering Southern Miss is light years ahead of Ole Miss in pitching and defense, all numbers on the Conference USA beating the SEC in this matchup are worth investment.
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Picks: Southern Miss -110
