Stanford vs. UConn Odds
Stanford vs. UConn Probable Pitchers & Projections
- Saturday: Austin Peterson (UConn) vs. Joey Dixon (Stanford) | Stanford -180 · Total: 11.1
- Sunday: Alex Williams (Stanford) vs. Pat Gallagher (UConn) | Stanford -200 · Total: 10.5
- Monday (if needed): Enzo Stefanoni (UConn) vs. Quinn Mathews (Stanford) | Stanford -270 · Total: 11.1
With Stanford taking its place as the No. 2 national seed, not many predicted Texas State would be leading the Cardinal in the ninth inning of their Regional final.
Stanford showed off its top-20 rank in home runs per game by going back-to-back to tie the Bobcats and followed that up with additional runs to stay in the hunt for Omaha.
Stanford walks off Texas State 😱 pic.twitter.com/4qLbohpJOk
— Baseball Bros (@BaseballBros) June 7, 2022
While the Bobcats received tremendous pitching from Levi Wells and Tristan Stivors, the lack of tough competition on its 2022 schedule may have gotten to Stanford. The Cardinal finished the season with a nonconference strength of schedule rank of 133rd, building an RPI solely on the strength of the Pac-12.
This is an important aspect against a Huskies team that blitzed Maryland in its own building.
Connecticut brings with it a pitching staff that ranks top-five in the nation in ERA and WHIP. Regionals started with ace Austin Peterson shutting down Wake Forest over six innings while fanning 11 batters.
Beating a Demon Deacons team that was favored to win the College Park Regional was no fluke, as UConn followed with seven innings from Pat Gallagher, who allowed just two earned runs against Maryland.
The Regional win certainly deserves respect in the betting market, especially considering three of the runs in the finale against Maryland were due to defensive errors.
UCONN GRAND SLAM[[! pic.twitter.com/OwfPRyVXoU
— Mr Matthew CFB 🇺🇦 (@MrMatthewCFB) June 6, 2022
Stanford is sure to draw a fair number of tickets, as DraftKings priced the Cardinal -310 on open. True odds for the projected pitcher matchups give the Huskies a 20.3% chance of winning the Super at the Sunken Diamond — higher than +300.
Considering the pitching — a unit that ranks third nationally (https://stats.ncaa.org/teams/526390) in strikeout-to-walk rate, UConn should keep a Stanford offense that struggles in on-base percentage down.
There’s no reason not to fire on the Huskies with a half-unit, as any steam on Stanford will require another half-unit on a rising UConn roster.
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Pick: UConn +240
