Texas A&M vs. Louisville Odds
Texas A&M vs. Louisville Probable Pitchers & Projections
- Friday: Garrett Schmeltz (Louisville) vs. Micah Dallas (Texas A&M) | Louisville -110 · Total: 13
- Saturday: Nathan Dettmer (Texas A&M) vs. Jared Poland (Louisville) | Louisville -130 · Total 11
- Sunday (if needed): Carson Liggett (Louisville) vs. Ryan Prager (Texas A&M) | Texas A&M -105 · Total 13
From a projection standpoint, this will be the most competitive region, with only Louisville starter Jared Poland having a pitching leg up on all members of the Texas A&M staff.
The Cardinals went a total of five games as a host in their Regional, beating Michigan in two out of three games. A Sunday night offensive outburst in a 20-1 victory over the Wolverines displayed a lineup that ranks top-20 in on-base and slugging percentage.
Louisville is one of the best hitting teams in the nation — and it has a strength of schedule in the top 20 — but a losing record on the road may play a factor in College Station.
JACK MOSS HITS BASEBALLS pic.twitter.com/cNJyLrZQFU
— Texas A&M Baseball (@AggieBaseball) June 6, 2022
Texas A&M had a similar path as Texas in the Regional, winning all three games with a margin that was never within three runs. Despite beating TCU in the finale, the Aggies committed three defensive errors, which has been a consistent issue the entire season.
Texas A&M did play one of the tougher schedules in the nation and maintained a 23-9 record at Blue Bell Park. A record of 19-11 against the RPI top 50 shows that home-field advantage and a tougher resume may be the deciding factors in this series.
Transfer senior Micah Dallas allowed just a single earned run to Oral Roberts in the opener, while Nathan Dettmer was lit up for six earned against Louisiana. Dettmer is currently scheduled to face Poland on Saturday, likely ensuring that this series goes the distance.
Saving the bullpen will be vital for each team, as Jacob Palisch expects to have a big role for the Aggies in tight situations.
The projections give Texas A&M a 49% chance to win this series, making either team with plus-money odds the value play.
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Picks: Louisville +110
