BetMGM Prematurely Posted Mets vs Braves Game 2 Odds

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BetMGM preemptively posted odds on Game 2 of a doubleheader between the Mets vs. Braves before the start of the eighth inning, when the Braves were leading 3-0 in Game 1.

No other sportsbook had odds posted on that contest because they're heavily contingent on the results of Game 1. The winner of Game 1 will qualify for the postseason and is incentivized to rest starters for Game 2.

BetMGM opened the honors with the Mets as -225 favorites and the Braves at +190 underdogs, baking in the odds of a Braves win at -5000. The odds were posted after the Braves went up 3-0. The assumption, of course, was that the Braves would trot out their back-of-the-bench players and someone other than likely Cy Young winner Chris Sale for Game 2 with the No. 5 seed locked up — and a postseason game the next day.

Atlanta needed just six outs to seal up a victory and stamp its place in the postseason. Instead, the Mets broke things open with six runs in the top of the eighth. BetMGM took down odds on Game 2 after two straight doubles to start the inning cut the lead to 3-1. The Mets proceeded to record three straight singles before a sacrifice fly gave New York the 4-3 lead. During the next at-bat, Brandon Nimmo hit a two-run homer to make it 6-3.

A two-way parlay on the Mets to win Game 1 and the Braves to win Game 2 would have paid $34,250 on a $1,000 wager if placed before the start of the eighth inning. Now, that's the most likely outcome.

In what would have been a potential reprieve, the Braves came back with four runs of their own in the bottom of the eighth to take an 8-7 lead.

Then, the Mets' Francisco Lindor launched a two-run homer in the top of the ninth to take an 8-7 lead, sealing a Mets win in one of the craziest games in franchise history.

About the Author
Avery Yang is an editor at the Action Network who focuses on breaking news across the sports world and betting algorithms that try to predict eventual outcomes. Avery is a graduate from Northwestern University's Medill School of Journalism. He has written for the Washington Post, the Associated Press, Sports Illustrated, (the old) Deadspin, MLB.com and others.

Follow Avery Yang @avery_yang on Twitter/X.

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