Pope Francis, the leader of the Catholic Church and sovereign of the Vatican City State since 2013, passed away on Monday at the age of 88. According to the Vatican, he died of a stroke that led to a coma and subsequent heart failure.
With his passing, the question of who will succeed him has become a matter of global interest, particularly among those placing bets on the next pontiff.
Here are the betting odds, using probabilities from Kalshi converted into prices.
Next Pope Betting Odds
- Pietro Parolin: +163
- Luis Antonio Tagle: +316
- Pierbattista Pizzaballa: +900
- Matteo Zuppi: +1010
- Peter Erdo: +1150
- Peter Turkson: +1500
- Jean-Marc Aveline +3233
- Fridolin Ambonga +3233
Pietro Parolin has been closely associated with Pope Francis and has served as the Vatican’s Secretary of State since 2013. He holds significant influence within the Vatican and is seen as a leading contender. His chances just in the span of writing this has increased from 35% to 38%.
Meanwhile, Luis Antonio Tagle, a former archbishop of Manila, is another strong candidate. If elected, he would make history as the first Asian pope, reflecting the growing influence of the Church in Asia.
Peter Erdo is noted for his conservative stance on traditional Catholic teachings.
Pope Francis was the 266th pope. His last public appearance was Easter Sunday in St. Peter's Square.
The selection of the next pope will play a crucial role in shaping the future direction of the Catholic Church. The world watches closely as the Conclave approaches.
