Browns vs. Texans Odds & Betting Predictions - December 24, 2023

Browns at Texans

6:00 pm • CBS

Cleveland Browns

2-8

36 - 22

Houston Texans

7-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Browns 2-8	-3	-3-110	o39.5-115	-160
Texans 7-4	u39.5	+3-110	u39.5-105	+135

Sunday 6:00 p.m.

December 24, 2023

NRG StadiumHouston

CLE -3-105

2.86u

CLE -150

0.67u

J.Ford u40.5 Rush Yds-110

Read why: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/jerome-ford-player-prop-pick-for-browns-vs-texans-in-nfl-week-16

CLE -3-105

D.Njoku 50+ Receiving Yards Yes-120

HOU +3-115

Under 40-108

A.Cooper o60.5 Rec Yds-110

Cooper has been targeted on 27 of Flacco’s 104 throws (excluding the plays he missed in the Rams game due to injury) - that’s a robust 26% target share. Tiny sample, but Cooper’s target share overall is 23%. He’s over this line in 8/13 full games, with 3 of the misses when DTR was QB (he can’t throw downfield). The Texans have been beat deep a bunch this season (25th in DVOA vs the deep ball, per FTN). Wilson, Sutton, Ridley, Chase, Evans all with big games against Houston in the last two months. Plus, the Browns are going to throw a bunch. The Texans run defense has been excellent (5th in DVOA), and the Browns run game hasn’t been great without Chubb to begin with. Plus, I expect Houston to struggle to sustain drives offensively - browns should dominate TOP. I have Cooper at 9 targets - should get him to 75+ yards. Play it to o64.5.

D.Njoku o48.5 Rec Yds-114

1.14u

HOU -2.5-110

Featured Insight
The Browns defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 34.0% since Week 12 -- T-9th-best in NFL. The Texans have a third down conversion rate of 27.0% since Week 12 -- T-3rd-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Texans have allowed just 347 yards rushing since Week 12 -- 7th-fewest in NFL. The Browns have rushed for just 310 yards since Week 12 -- 5th-fewest in NFL.

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Prop Bomb's Bet for Browns vs. Texans
Prop Bomb•
Dec 24, 2023 UTC
Gallant's Anytime TD Picks & Previews for Week 16
Gilles Gallant•
Dec 24, 2023 UTC
Abrams' NFL Week 16 Betting Primer (Sunday Update)
Evan Abrams•
Dec 24, 2023 UTC
Browns vs. Texans: Back Cleveland on the Road
Phillip Kall•
Dec 24, 2023 UTC

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NFL Public Betting

Texans are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Texans are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Texans are 3-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Texans' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Texans' 5 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Texans	5-6	2-3	3-3	3-5	2-1
Browns	3-7	1-4	2-3	0-4	3-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Texans	3-8	0-5	3-3	3-5	0-3
Browns	4-6	2-3	2-3	2-2	2-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Texans	7-4	N/A	N/A	7-1	0-3
Browns	2-8	N/A	N/A	0-4	2-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Dec 17th	@TEN	W 19-16	+3 W	U 38.5	HOU +139
Dec 10th	@NYJ	L 6-30	-3.5 L	O 33.5	NYJ -176
Dec 3rd	DEN	W 22-17	-3.5 W	U 47.5	HOU -175
Nov 26th	JAC	L 21-24	+1 L	U 48.5	JAC -105
Nov 19th	ARI	W 21-16	-5.5 L	U 48	HOU -240

Jedrick Wills
T
Wills is out with knee
Out

Khaleke Hudson
OLB
Hudson is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah
LB
Owusu-Koramoah is out with neck
Out
Mike Hall
DT
Hall is out with knee
Out

Jerry Hughes
DE
Hughes is questionable with hip
Questionable
Folorunso Fatukasi
DT
Fatukasi is out with foot
Out
Jeff Okudah
CB
Okudah is questionable with quad
Questionable
Will Anderson
DE
Anderson is out with ankle
Out
Kamari Lassiter
DB
Lassiter is questionable with concussion
Questionable
Blake Fisher
OL
Fisher is out with concussion
Out

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Browns

Total

Texans

418

Total Yards

250

Total Plays

5.6

Yards Per Play

3.7

Browns

Passing

Texans

374

YDS

211

28/44

Comps/Atts

26/49

8.089

YPA

3.423

3/2

TDs/INTs

2/2

1/10

Sacks/Yards

3/33

Browns

Rushing

Texans

Rush Yards

Attempts

1.8

YPC

4.5

TDs

Browns

Turnovers

Texans

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Browns

Efficiency

Texans

4/6 66.67%

Redzone

2/2 100%

6/16 0%

3rd Down

5/15 0%

4/6 0%

4th Down

1/3 0%

Browns

First Downs

Texans

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Browns

Misc

Texans

9/55

Penalties/Yards

10/76

33:34

Possession

26:26

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MatchupOverUnder
Browns 2-8	o20.5-118	u20.5-105
Texans 7-4	o18.5-120	u18.5+100

Browns vs. Texans Odds & Betting Predictions - December 24, 2023

Browns at Texans

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