The 2022 Super Bowl is set! The Los Angeles Rams will take on the Cincinnati Bengals at home in SoFi Stadium just a year after the Tampa Bay Buccaneers became the first team in NFL history to win the Lombardi Trophy in their home stadium.
Will the Rams repeat the historic feat or will the Bengals win a Super Bowl for the first time in franchise history? Either way, there is plenty to unpack ahead of the Big Game — let's take a deep dive into the betting trends that will shape the storylines for Super Bowl LVI.
Super Bowl Trends
Lookahead Super Bowl spreads entering the Conference Championship:
- Chiefs -2.5 vs. Rams
- Rams -4.5 vs. Bengals
- Chiefs -5.5 vs. 49ers
- 49ers -3 vs. Bengals
How have favorites performed in Super Bowl history? 35-20 straight up (SU) and 27-26-2 against the spread (ATS).
The over/under in Super Bowl history is also close to split, with 26 overs, 27 unders and one push (there was no O/U for Super Bowl I).
Has the point spread mattered in the final result of Super Bowls? In 55 games, the straight up winner is 47-6-2 ATS.
In the Super Bowl, the SU winner has also covered the spread in 12 consecutive games. The last favorite not to cover? The Steelers, who were six and a half-point favorites in Super Bowl XLIII, but beat the Cardinals by only four points with a final score of 27-23.
Cincinnati Bengals
- Covered seven straight games en route to the Super Bowl. Last team to do that was the 2016-17 New England Patriots. We all remember how that ended.
- The Bengals are 13-7 ATS this season entering the Super Bowl, the second-most profitable team in the NFL behind just the Dallas Cowboys (13-5 ATS).
- Cincinnati had odds of 150-1 to win the Super Bowl entering the preseason, which is tied with the 1999-00 Rams for the biggest long shot to make the Super Bowl (since 1978).
- Joe Burrow is 12-4 ATS vs. above .500 opponents, making him the most profitable QB in NFL since he was drafted No. 1 overall in 2020. He has covered six games in a row.
- With a win in Super Bowl LVI, Joe Burrow will become the first QB to win the Heisman Trophy, a National Championship and a Super Bowl ring.
- This will be the Bengals' third Super Bowl appearance in franchise history. Cincinnati is 0-2 SU and 1-1 ATS in the Big Game.
- With zero wins in their 54-year history as a franchise (started in 1968), the Bengals own the ninth-longest championship drought in pro football history.
Los Angeles Rams
- The Rams will be playing in their fifth Super Bowl in franchise history. The Rams are 1-3 SU and 0-3-1 ATS in those four games.
- The Rams will play the Bengals in Super Bowl LVI. Cincinnati entered the year at 150-1 odds to win it all. In 1999, the then St. Louis Rams were 150-1 to win it all in the preseason and went on to win the Super Bowl.
- As of now, the 1999 Rams are the biggest long shots to win it all since start of wild-card games in 1978.
- Matthew Stafford entered this season 23-57 (28.85) SU in his career vs. teams above .500. In 2021, he is 6-4 SU in that spot and currently on a three-game winning streak (winning five of his last six).
- Cooper Kupp enters the Super Bowl having scored a touchdown in his last five games (including eight of his last nine games).
- In 20 games this season, Kupp is 16-4 to the over for his receiving yards prop.
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