The 2022-23 Super Bowl is set! We have Chiefs vs. Eagles odds for the big game, which will take place at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona.
Let's take a deep dive into the betting trends that will shape the storylines for Super Bowl LVII.
Super Bowl Trends
What were the Super Bowl lookahead lines prior to the Conference Championship Games?
- Chiefs -1 vs. Eagles
- Eagles -1.5 vs. Bengals
- Chiefs -1 vs. 49ers
- 49ers -1 vs. Bengals
How have favorites performed in Super Bowl history?
36-20 straight up (SU) and 27-27-2 against the spread (ATS).
The over/under in Super Bowl history is also close to split, with 26 overs, 28 unders and one push (there was no O/U for Super Bowl I).
Has the point spread mattered in the final result of Super Bowls?
In 56 games, the SU winner is 47-7-2 ATS. In Super Bowl LVI (last year), the Rams beat the Bengals, but failed to cover the 4.5-point spread — the first time the favorite won but failed to cover the Super Bowl since 2009.
Another short spread in the Super Bowl
This is poised to be the 15th straight Super Bowl with the favorite laying fewer than seven points, extending the longest string in history.
| Patrick Mahomes, KC | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Career | Playoffs (Career) |
7-12 ATS 16-3 SU | 48-43-2 ATS 74-19 SU | 8-5 ATS 10-3 SU |
| Jalen Hurts, PHI | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Career | Playoffs (Career) |
10-7 ATS 16-1 SU | 19-17-1 ATS 25-12 SU | 2-1 ATS 2-1 SU |
Philadelphia Eagles
- Philly is 1-2 straight up and 2-1 against the spread in franchise history in the Super Bowl.
- The Eagles were 25-1 to win it all in the preseason, which ranked 13th in the NFL behind teams like the Colts, Broncos and Rams.
- Over the last 40 years, the Eagles at 25-1 odds would be the seventh highest to win the Super Bowl.
- Jalen Hurts, 24, would be the youngest QB to win a Super Bowl out of the NFC (Jared Goff was 24 in 2019).
- Hurts has had success against quality teams this season, going 7-0 SU vs. playoff teams.
- Hurts is 21-4 (84%) SU in games in which his team is favored (13-11-1 ATS).
- In the Super Bowl, the Eagles will be playing their first game away from home since they faced the Cowboys in Dallas the day before Christmas — which will be exactly 50 days to the day of Super Bowl LVII.
- Eagles are 14-5 against the first half spread this season, the most profitable first-half ATS team this season.
- In the Super Bowl, the Eagles will be playing their first game away from home since they faced the Cowboys in Dallas the day before Christmas — which will be exactly 50 days to the day of Super Bowl LVII.
- The Eagles entered the playoffs 8-9 ATS during the regular season. Philadelphia could become the third team to enter the postseason under .500 ATS and win the Super Bowl in the Wild Card Era (2013 Ravens and 2022 Rams).
- The Super Bowl is in Arizona, not Philadelphia. Hurts has performed much better at home than on the road.
Home: 13-5-1 ATS – 10-3 ATS at home as an underdog or a favorite of seven points or fewer.
Road: 6-12 ATS – Under .500 ATS on the road each of his three seasons in the NFL.
Kansas City Chiefs
- Chiefs are 2-2 SU and 2-2 ATS in franchise history in the Super Bowl.
- The Chiefs were 10-1 to win the Super Bowl in the preseason, which was third behind the Bills and Buccaneers.
- Kansas City Preseason Odds to Win Super Bowl with Patrick Mahomes:
- 2022: +1000
- 2021, 2020: +450
- 2019: +600
- 2018: +3000
- This is Mahomes’ third Super Bowl appearance. He's the 13th QB with three-plus Super Bowl appearances and only the sixth with all three appearances coming under 30 years old.
- If Kansas City closes as a favorite against Philly, the Chiefs would be favored in their 16th straight playoff game — the longest streak in the Super Bowl era. Their last playoff game as an underdog? 2016 Divisional at Patriots. Alex Smith vs. Tom Brady. The Patriots won 27-20.
- Mahomes would be favored in his 14th straight playoff game (T-longest streak all-time with Peyton Manning).
- Mahomes is 20-4 SU at home in December or later in his career. His only losses? Against Joe Burrow, Brady and Philip Rivers.
- Mahomes’ 18th start in January or later. He’s been favored in all 18 — he's 13-4 SU and 9-8 ATS.
- Super Bowl 57 is Andy Reid's fourth Super Bowl as a head coach. Reid becomes the ninth coach in history to go to four Super Bowls as a head coach.
- Mahomes is 18-6-1 ATS as a favorite of three points or less (or an underdog) in his career (30-37-1 ATS as favorite of 3.5 or more).
