As is annual tradition, the odds boards are moving for the NFL Draft on the morning of the first round.
Here’s the latest.
2024 NFL Draft Odds: The Latest Numbers for Every Top-10 Pick
The top four picks all have a favorite of -250 or higher.
Caleb Williams is -20000 to go first overall at DraftKings, which is no surprise. That’s where the number has been for the past couple of weeks.
The big movement has come after the top pick. Here are the favorites for each of the top-10 picks at DraftKings.
| Pick | Player | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caleb Williams | -20000 |
| 2 | Jayden Daniels | -1000 |
| 3 | Drake Maye | -300 |
| 4 | Marvin Harrison Jr. | -250 |
| 5 | JC Latham | +240 |
| 6 | Malik Nabers | +140 |
| 7 | Joe Alt | -190 |
| 8 | Dallas Turner | +165 |
| 9 | Byron Murphy II | +145 |
| 10 | Brock Bowers | +200 |
This isn’t an unreasonable mock draft. The biggest omission is Rome Odunze, the former Washington wide receiver. He’s expected to go in the top 10 after Harrison and Nabers are off the board.
Given how mock drafts have trended over the past couple of weeks, it would be a big surprise if the first defensive player taken goes in the top seven. Heck, the Falcons could even trade down if a team wants Odunze or potentially J.J. McCarthy if he's still available.
Odds Breakdown
According to oddsmakers, there aren’t expected to be many surprises in the top four.
The Cardinals are the first team to pick that don’t need a quarterback and could trade back, but Arizona has six picks in the top 100, including two in the first round. It doesn’t necessarily need more of them.
The Chargers are where things get interesting.
JC Latham has shown up going fifth in many expert mock drafts on Thursday morning. The former Alabama standout was recruited by Jim Harbaugh at Michigan and is the most physically impressive offensive lineman in the draft. Los Angeles needs a wide receiver, but Alt is the second favorite to go fifth at +300.
Alt is tied at +300 for the fifth pick with McCarthy. The Chargers are the most likely trade-down candidate in the top seven given their somewhat barren roster, new head coach and new GM, so adding picks makes sense.
If a team wants McCarthy, the fifth pick might be where it gets its guy.
So, if you're looking to bet on the fifth overall pick, it comes down to whether you think the Chargers keep the pick and go with an offensive lineman or wide receiver, or trade the pick for a team to snag McCarthy.
Next Biggest Favorite
After the top four, the next biggest favorite in the top 10 is Alt to go seventh overall.
The Titans hold that pick and need a tackle to protect Will Levis, so that one makes sense. Latham is +475, followed by Rome Odunze at +650.
