Week 1 of the NFL season is in the books. Now comes the time for overreactions in the Super Bowl odds market. The first game of the season doesn't determine where a team will end up in January, but some opening weekend performances carried more weight than others at sportsbooks.
The top of the board hasn't changed. The Chiefs (+450) entered the season as favorites to win Super Bowl 59 and the San Francisco 49ers (+550) are the only other team with odds below 10-1. The next three teams — Lions (+1000), Ravens (+1200) and Eagles (+1300) — have all remained in the same range from week to week. But oddsmakers at BetMGM have moved the odds of other potential contenders significantly.
Here's a look at the updated Super Bowl odds as we head into the Week 2 of the NFL season.
2025 Super Bowl Odds
| Team | Week 1 Odds | Current Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | +500 | +450 |
| San Francisco 49ers | +600 | +550 |
| Detroit Lions | +1200 | +1000 |
| Baltimore Ravens | +1000 | +1200 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | +1200 | +1300 |
| Dallas Cowboys | +2000 | +1400 |
| Houston Texans | +1600 | +1400 |
| Buffalo Bills | +1600 | +1600 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | +1300 | +2000 |
| New York Jets | +2000 | +2000 |
| Miami Dolphins | +2500 | +2000 |
| Green Bay Packers | +1600 | +3000 |
| Atlanta Falcons | +3000 | +3000 |
| Chicago Bears | +3500 | +3500 |
| Los Angeles Rams | +3000 | +3500 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +4000 | +4000 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | +5000 | +5000 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +5000 | +5000 |
| Cleveland Browns | +4000 | +5000 |
| Seattle Seahawks | +6600 | +6600 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +8000 | +6600 |
| Indianapolis Colts | +8000 | +8000 |
| Minnesota Vikings | +10000 | +8000 |
| New Orleans Saints | +10000 | +8000 |
| Arizona Cardinals | +12500 | +10000 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | +15000 | +15000 |
| Washington Commanders | +15000 | +15000 |
| Tennessee Titans | +15000 | +15000 |
| New York Giants | +20000 | +25000 |
| Denver Broncos | +15000 | +25000 |
| Carolina Panthers | +25000 | +30000 |
| New England Patriots | +30000 | +30000 |
Odds via BetMGM as of Sept. 10.
Super Bowl 59 Odds Movement
Biggest Risers
Dallas Cowboys
+2000 to +1400
Dallas stole the headlines before kickoff when the team announced it signed quarterback Dak Prescott to a four-year, $240 million extension on Sunday afternoon. America's team put on a dominant performance against the Browns on the road, creating havoc on defense and holding Cleveland to just 17 points.
The Cowboys opened 16-1 to win the Super Bowl and had modest support from the public at BetMGM entering Week 1 with 2.8% of betting tickets and 20-1 odds. They are now tied with the Texans (+1400) and boast the sixth-shortest odds to win the Super Bowl.
Miami Dolphins
+2500 to +2000
Tyreek Hill being detained by police Sunday morning almost overshadowed an impressive comeback win by the Dolphins at home against the Jaguars, but oddsmakers certainly took notice. The Dolphins trailed 17-7 at halftime, but scored 13 unanswered points to pick up the Week 1 win. Miami is another team getting modest support from the public with 2.5% of betting tickets. At +2000, the Dolphins have shifted back to their opening number and are tied with the Bengals and Jets on the oddsboard.
Biggest Fallers
Cincinnati Bengals
+1300 to +2000
The Bengals suffered the biggest upset of Week 1 in a home loss to the Patriots as eight-point favorites. Week 2 won't be any easier with the Bengals playing on the road against the Chiefs and looking to avoid going 0-2 to start the season for the third year in a row. Only five teams had a higher percentage of Super Bowl betting tickets than the Bengals (5.1%) entering the season.
Green Bay Packers
+1600 to +3000
The Packers received the most unfortunate injury news of Week 1 and saw the sharpest decline in Super Bowl odds after their opening game. Jordan Love was diagnosed with an MCL sprain, but won't go on IR, according to Packers head coach Matt LaFleur. Reports over the weekend estimated Love could miss up to four weeks with the injury and backup quarterback Malik Willis will replace Love in any games he misses.
Other Notable Super Bowl Odds Movement
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Baker Mayfield and the Buccaneers were firing on all cylinders in their Week 1 win against the Commanders. They are still long shots to win the Super Bowl, but moved from 80-1 to 66-1.
New Orleans Saints
The Saints completely neutralized the Panthers in Week 1 in their 47-10 win and led 30-3 at halftime. Beating the Panthers can only improve a team's odds so much, though. The Saints moved from 100-1 to 80-1 on the board.
Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings were one of the biggest fallers between their opening odds (40-1) and their Week 1 odds (100-1). They lost veteran quarterback Kirk Cousins to the Falcons in the offseason and lost rookie quarterback JJ McCarthy to injury in the preseason. Enter Sam Darnold, who shredded the Giants defense to give the Vikings a win to open the season. After the win, the Vikings moved from 100-1 to 80-1 to win the Super Bowl.
