5 Most Valuable NFL Player Prop Bets for Packers vs. Bills on SNF, Including Aaron Rodgers, Josh Allen

5 Most Valuable NFL Player Prop Bets for Packers vs. Bills on SNF, Including Aaron Rodgers, Josh Allen article feature image
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Pictured: Josh Allen. (Photo by Jason Hanna/Getty Images)

Sunday Night Football's Packers vs. Bills looked far sexier before the season started, but that doesn't mean there isn't value to be gleaned for tonight's contest.

These five NFL player prop bets have been deemed most valuable by the Action Network's director of predictive analytics Sean Koerner.

Aaron Rodgers and Josh Allen's are featured in the top five, with Rodgers' rush yard prop the culprit and Allen's total completions under deemed most valuable.


View more NFL player prop projections, lines and odds here!


Packers vs. Bills Most Valuable NFL Player Prop Bets

  1. Aaron Jones rush attempts under 11.5 +105 (BetMGM)
  2. Sammy Watkins receptions under 3.5 +120 (BetMGM)
  3. Aaron Rodgers over 2.5 rushing yards -115 (DraftKings)
  4. Josh Allen under 24.5 pass completions -114 (FanDuel)
  5. Robert Tonyan over 3.5 pass receptions +124 (FanDuel)

*Odds and data are as of Sunday morning. These are the market's most valuable prices.

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The most valuable prop for Sunday Night Football's Packers vs. Bills is on Aaron Jones to rush for 11 or fewer times. Koerner predicts this line should be priced closer to 10.5, giving this pick a 15.1% edge when accounting for vig.

Sammy Watkins' under on receptions registers at a 12.6% betting edge. He's predicted to have closer to three receptions.

Josh Allen and Aaron Rodgers' most valuable props are both projected to have roughly a 6% betting edge.

Meanwhile, Robert Tonyan is projected to have 3.7 receptions tonight, giving the +124 vig proper utility.

About the Author
Avery Yang is an editor at the Action Network who focuses on breaking news across the sports world and betting algorithms that try to predict eventual outcomes. He is also Darren Rovell's editor. Avery is a recent graduate from Northwestern University's Medill School of Journalism. He has written for the Washington Post, the Associated Press, Sports Illustrated, (the old) Deadspin, MLB.com and others.

Follow Avery Yang @avery_yang on Twitter/X.

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