Browns vs. Packers Odds
Browns Odds | +7.5 (-115) |
Packers Odds | -7.5 (-105) |
Over/Under | 46 |
Time | 4:30 p.m. ET |
TV | FOX, NFL Network |
Even though Christmas is usually a day reserved for the NBA, this year it falls on a Saturday, and the NFL has decided to take advantage.
The Cleveland Browns play a pivotal game at the Green Bay Packers during the afternoon slot while the Indianapolis Colts face the ArizonaCardinals for the night cap.
The public is riding the Packers to take down a team that has been depleted by COVID-19 as of late. While starting quarterback Baker Mayfield, starting wide receiver Jarvis Landry, starting right tackle James Hudson III and a few other important players will play after missing last week's game, starting left tackle Jedrick Wills, defensive end Jadeveon Clowney, starting center JC Tretter and kicker Chase McLaughlin will miss the game due to the virus.
About 73% of the public money is on the Packers to cover by at least 7.5-points, though those bets include wagers on teasers.
The public also loves these three player props involving Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams.
Browns vs. Packers Most Popular Player Props
- Davante Adams to score a touchdown at any time (-145)
- Aaron Rodgers to throw for more than 260.5 yards (-125)
- Davante Adams to score the first touchdown of the game (+450)
Davante Adams has scored a touchdown in six of the 12 games he's played with Aaron Rodgers this season, which implies that those odds should be somewhere closer to +100.
Against the the Browns' 23rd-ranked pass defense, that's more likely to happen. But, if you want to bet against the Browns secondary — especially with Aaron Rodgers on the opposite side of the ball — you should just drop on Rodgers' passing props instead.
Generally, touchdown props have too much variability and seldom have positive expected value.
Rodgers has thrown for more than 260.5 yards in eight of 13 games this season, including each of his last five contests.
The Browns' starting safety Ronnie Harrison Jr. and one of their top corners, Greg Newsome II, will be out of this game with COVID-19.
It opens the door for one of the best quarterbacks of all-time to have a big game through the air.
With wins against the Browns, Vikings and Lions, the Packers guarantee themselves the No. 1 seed in the NFC and a first-round bye.
Beyond that, wins in these last three games will all but guarantee Aaron Rodgers back-to-back MVP honors.
It's an award that will cement Rodgers as one of the top-five quarterbacks in history — as if that hasn't been clear already.
There's incentive in place for Rodgers to go all-out with his aerial attack on Christmas. Ride his passing yard props and avoid the touchdown ones at all costs.