Falcons vs. Saints Prediction, Picks, Odds, Best Bets for NFL Week 10

Falcons vs. Saints Prediction, Picks, Odds, Best Bets for NFL Week 10 article feature image
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Action Network/Getty Images: Kirk Cousins, Derek Carr

This article contains predictions for an old game.

The Atlanta Falcons (6-3) and New Orleans Saints (2-7) will kick off the Sunday NFL Week 10 slate at 1 p.m. ET from the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. The game will be live on FOX and can be streamed on  YouTube TV and other platforms.

The Falcons are 3.5-point favorites over the Saints (Falcons -3.5) with the over/under set at 41.5 points scored. Atlanta is -190 on the moneyline and New Orleans is +160.

The Falcons won 27-21 over the Cowboys last week, their fourth win in five games. Kirk Cousins threw 3 touchdowns last week and Bijan Robinson had 145 yards of offense. The Saints lost 23-22 to the Panthers and fired head coach Dennis Allen. Derek Carr had 236 passing yards and a touchdown in his return, while Alvin Kamara powered the offense with 215 yards of total offense.

Let's get into my Falcons vs. Saints prediction and my NFL picks and predictions for Week 10.


Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints

Falcons Logo
Sunday, Nov. 10
1 p.m. ET
FOX
Saints Logo
Falcons Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-3.5
-115
46.5
-110 / -110
-190
Saints Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+3.5
-105
46.5
-110 / -110
+160
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.
bet365 Logo
  • Falcons vs. Saints spread: Falcons -3.5
  • Falcons vs. Saints over/under: 46.5 points
  • Falcons vs. Saints moneyline: Falcons -190, Saints +160
  • Falcons vs. Saints pick: Saints +3.5 (-105)

My Saints vs. Falcons best bet is on New Orleans. For all of your NFL bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NFL odds page.

Pick Against the Spread

I'm taking the points with the Saints. While the offense is banged up, this is a good spot for New Orleans after firing Dennis Allen. Our NFL Luck Rankings also indicate that the Saints are due for positive regression.

Over/Under Prediction

I have no bet on this game's total.

Moneyline

I'm not getting ahead of myself and betting on the Saints moneyline. I'll simply take the points as long as we're getting more than a field goal.

My pick: Saints +3.5 (-105)

How To Bet Falcons vs. Saints Picks

This is a scary bet to make. The Saints have been allergic to winning and covering of late, but I think last week’s loss to the Panthers was rock bottom. They’ve lost seven straight games after a 2-0 start, but Spencer Rattler started three of those games and you can throw those out.

A big reason I’m backing New Orleans here is our NFL Luck Rankings. The Falcons are third, while the Saints are dead last. Not much has gone New Orleans’ way so far this season since those first two weeks.

A good example of that is these teams’ first matchup this season. The Saints were the dominant team in that game, but the Falcons got two defensive touchdowns and won on a last-second field goal.

The situation on the Saints offense is not great in terms of the receivers available for Derek Carr. Chris Olave will be out after suffering another concussion last week, while Rashid Shaheed and Bub Means are on injured reserve.

The teams that really give this Saints offense trouble are those that can put pressure on Carr, who struggles when he’s put off his spot in the pocket. Well, the Falcons are second worst in the NFL in terms of generating pressure on the opposing quarterback. Carr can move the ball efficiently when he’s upright, although it might not be pretty with few explosive plays.

You can run on the Falcons, though, which is good for the Saints with their go-to playmaker. Alvin Kamara has been taking on a huge workload of late and ran for 155 yards last week.

I’ve also never been a fan of Dennis Allen as a head coach. He punted on a key fourth-and-short situation last week, and Bryce Young – Bryce Young! – led Carolina down the field for a game-winning touchdown.

I think highly enough of this Saints team that getting more than a field goal is something I’m very interested in this week with Allen out of the picture.

Pick: Saints +3.5 (-105)

Betting Trends

  • 83% of bets and 77% of the money are on the Falcons to cover the spread.
  • 77% of bets and 70% of the money are on the over.
  • 94% of bets and 97% of the money on the moneyline are on the Falcons.

How to Watch: Time, Channel, Streaming

Location:Caesars Superdome
Date:Sunday, Nov. 10
Kickoff Time:1 p.m. ET
TV / Streaming:FOX / YouTube TV

Saints vs. Falcons is scheduled for a 1 p.m. ET start time, live from Caesars Superdome in New Orleans on Sunday, Nov. 10. The game will be live on FOX and will stream on YouTube TV.

NFL Weather

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About the Author
Stuckey is a senior betting analyst at Action Network, focusing on college football, college basketball, and the NFL. He hosts The Action Network Podcast and co-hosts the Big Bets on Campus podcast with Collin Wilson and Brett McMurphy. Stuckey was Action Network’s first content hire in 2017, helping launch their award-winning app, and continues to work closely with their development team. A CFA Charterholder, Stuckey has been betting since 2003 and has a background as a derivatives analyst in the financial industry. He holds an MBA from George Washington University.

Follow Stuckey @Stuckey2 on Twitter/X.

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