Monday Night Football's Broncos vs. Chargers matchup may be incredibly consequential for the rest of Denver's season, especially after a series of duds over the last few weeks.
And the marketplace has responded to the Broncos' dismal offense. Austin Ekeler leads the charge on the two most popular player props for Monday Night Football.
Meanwhile, it's third-string wide receiver KJ Hamler — not their top-two receivers, nor running back Melvin Gordon III — who is the Broncos' top pick in the market to perform well tonight.
View more NFL player prop projections, lines and odds here!
Broncos vs. Chargers Most Popular NFL Player Prop Bets
- Austin Ekeler to score the first touchdown of the game (+450)
- Austin Ekeler to score a touchdown at any time (-225)
- KJ Hamler over 22.5 receiving yards (-120)
*Odds and data are according to BetMGM as of Monday morning.
One of our premier data gurus, Nick Giffen, assessed the value on all of these props and indicates no value on all three props.
"Both Ekeler props are way too short to bet on," Giffen said.
The Action Network's Sean Koerner currently has Ekeler at -130 fair odds (56.8% chance) to score a touchdown. BetMGM's line at -225 provides almost 13% less value.
Meanwhile, Ekeler's odds to score the first TD should be around +615. BetMGM's odds at +450 are 3.2% less valuable.
And Hamler's receiving yards prop has actually moved down from its opening total of 25.5. That indicates sharp money on the under, Giffen said.
"Hamler is likely the one of the most bet player props because of the narrative around Russell Wilson missing a wide open Hamler last week and feeding him to "make up" for it this week," Giffen said.
The Action Network's proprietary betting model has his receiving yard median below 22.5.
