The Baltimore Ravens (7-3) and Pittsburgh Steelers (7-2) will face off in NFL Week 11 at 1 p.m. ET from Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh. The game will be broadcast live on CBS and can be streamed on Paramount+, YouTube TV and other similar streaming platforms.
The Ravens are favored by 3 points over the Steelers (Ravens -3) with the game total set at 48.5. The Ravens are -180 favorites to win outright, while the Steelers is +150 to pull off the upset.
Lamar Jackson continued his quest for a third NFL MVP Award last week with 290 passing yards and 4 passing touchdowns. The Steelers won their fourth straight game last week. Pittsburgh has scored at least 26 points in each of its last four games, the last three of which have been started by Russell Wilson.
Let's get into my Steelers vs Ravens predictions and NFL picks.
Ravens vs. Steelers Expert Picks
Spread
There are a bevy of trends that point toward the Steelers here. Mike Tomlin has been very profitable as an underdog, and the team catching points in his matchup against John Harbaugh is usually the one to bet.
Moneyline
I'm focused on betting the Steelers with the points instead of their moneyline.
Over/Under
I have no pick on the game total for the AFC North rivalry.
My Pick: Steelers +3.5 (-118)
Ravens vs. Steelers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Ravens Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3 -115 | 48.5 -110o / -110u | -180 |
| Steelers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3 -105 | 48.5 -110o / -110u | +150 |
- Ravens vs. Steelers spread: Ravens -3
- Ravens vs. Steelers over/under: 48.5 points scored
- Ravens vs. Steelers moneyline: Ravens -180, Steelers +150
- Ravens vs. Steelers prediction: Steelers +3.5 (-118)
MyRavens vs. Steelers best bet is on Pittsburgh as an underdog. For all of your bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NFL odds page.
Baltimore Ravens vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Preview
The Ravens have the No. 1-ranked offense in the NFL, according to DVOA, but I’m trusting Mike Tomlin and the Steelers’ great defense.
Pittsburgh is coming off a 28-27 win over the Commanders, but the Steelers defense played better than the 27 points allowed would otherwise indicate. Jayden Daniels barely broke 200 passing yards and only ran for five yards.
The weakest unit in this game is the Ravens pass defense. Russell Wilson might be past his prime, but he can still hit some explosive plays with vintage moon balls.
Lamar Jackson has also struggled in his career against the Steelers. In six career games against Pittsburgh, Jackson has thrown four touchdowns and seven interceptions. He has also fumbled seven times (lost three) and been sacked 20 times.
Also, the trends indicate this matchup is one to bet the 'dog — and Tomlin.
Under Tomlin, the Steelers cover at a 58% rate against teams over .500, while John Harbaugh covers at a 42% rate as a divisional favorite.
Tomlin as an underdog is a must-bet spot. During Tomlin’s Steelers reign, they’re 48-20-1 (71%) against the spread (ATS) as an underdog from Week 5 until the end of the season. At home, that trend gets even better (81%), and it’s just as good against divisional foes (81%).
In the Tomlin vs. Harbaugh matchup, you should take the underdog. The team getting points in Tomlin vs. Harbaugh is 26-6-3 (79%) ATS, and that includes an 18-2-3 (90%) record when the 'dog is getting three or more points.
My Pick: Steelers +3.5 (-118)
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