Bears vs Commanders Player Props (Thursday Night Football)
In the table below, you'll find each of Sam Farley's top player prop picks from today's Thursday Night Football matchup between the Bears and Commanders. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 8:15 p.m. | |
| 8:15 p.m. | |
| 8:15 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. Odds will be included for ESPNBET once the sportsbook goes live. | |
Bears vs. Packers
Cole Kmet
Under 32.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
So far this season, Cole Kmet has been one of Justin Fields’ favorite targets. He’s hauled in 18 of his 24 targets for 189 yards, good for an average of just over 47 receiving yards per game.
Nonetheless, Thursday is a great spot to target the Chicago tight end to go under 32.5 receiving yards.
The Commanders have given up just 83 yards to tight ends all season, averaging just under 21 yards per game, and have also not allowed a single touchdown to the position.
They’ve already faced the likes of Dallas Goedert, Dawson Knox and Zach Ertz, and I see Kmet struggling to keep up his great start.
Pick: Cole Kmet Under 32.5 Receiving Yards -115
Bears vs. Commanders
DJ Moore
5+ Receptions (+180)
DJ Moore’s reception line sits at 3.5, but this is a chance to get aggressive at +180 for five or more.
We know all about Moore’s ability as a receiver — he’s shown since being drafted by the Panthers in 2018 that he’s a top player. The issue has always been, and still is, quarterback play.
After just two targets in Week 1, he's been targeted 22 times over the past three weeks, an average of over seven targets per game. With Kmet facing a difficult matchup, I can see Fields keying in on Moore, who has had over five receptions in 50% of his games this year.
I’ll back him to do it again on Thursday Night Football.
Pick: DJ Moore 5+ Receptions (+180)
Bears vs. Commanders
Sam Howell
Over 12.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Sam Howell’s rushing yard line sits at 12.5, which feels like a must-smash to me.
The Bears have given up 69 rushing yards to quarterbacks thus far. Russell Wilson rushed for 13 yards last week, although he isn't the rushing threat he once was. Baker Mayfield, another quarterback not known for his mobility, rushed for 17 yards on six carries, while Patrick Mahomes had 29.
Only Jordan Love, who rushed for 12 yards in Week 1, hasn’t hit this over against the Bears.
Howell’s rushing yards have risen every week, from 11 in Week 1 to 40 in Week 4. He’s averaged 7.5 yards per carry, a figure that would smash the over in just two carries, and it feels like the Commanders are trusting him to show some of the upside as a runner that he flashed in college.
I love the over in this favorable spot for Howell against the Bears.
Pick: Sam Howell Over 12.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
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