The number in parenthesis is a confidence rating from 1-10.
Trevor Siemian — Under 100.5 Passing Yards (6)
Justin Fields will start and play 6-10 snaps. That means we should see him for 1-2 series to begin the game before turning the offense over to Siemian to close out the half.
Siemian will likely play 1-1 1/2 quarters before turning the offense over to Nathan Peterman to close out the game. I would project Siemian closer to the 85-92 yards based on his playing time so there is some slight value on his under. However, I like how this correlates with the two other Bears props I will be taking.
Darrynton Evans — Under 26.5 Rushing Yards (8)
David Montgomery will likely start tonight’s game and could see 1-2 series of action. This will make the RB room more crowded than it was in Week 1, when Evans saw seven carries for 20 yards.
Evans led all running backs with nine routes run and I expect him to be used heavily on passing downs, which will limit his potential rushing output tonight.
I’m projecting him closer to 20.5 rushing yards.
Trenton Gill & Michael Dickson — Under 2.5 Punts, First Quarter (7)
In Week 1, the Bears received the opening kickoff and had all three of their drives stall in the first quarter, resulting in three punts. This time, the Chicago starting offense will play 1-2 opening drives to begin the game, which means it should be able to move the ball and could be aggressive when it comes to fourth-down decision-making.
Week 2 of the preseason tends to be higher-scoring than Week 1. Also, with both starting offenses getting at least one, possibly more, series, chances are this game will feature more points and fewer punts.
If the Seahawks can begin the game with a couple of long drives with Geno Smith (and most of the starters) and the Bears can begin the game with a couple of their own with Justin Fields (and most of the starters), it will be huge for the Siemian, Evans and Trenton Gill props, especially in the first quarter. I love the correlation between all three Bears props.
Michael Dickson — Under 5.5 Punts (9)
Only 15% of teams punted six or more times last week. Week 1 of the preseason is typically lower scoring than Week 2, so I would expect Dickson’s chances of clearing that number are even lower tonight since the Seahawks will be playing Geno Smith for about a half and their team total sits at 21.5.
This is my favorite prop of the game.
