Bengals vs Ravens is always primetime television. It gets even better when the NFL puts the game on Sunday Night Football.
There are plenty of ways to bet on this top-tier primetime matchup. One of my favorite ways is with PrizePicks, which allows you to pair up and parlay NFL player props and wager real money in 30 states.
There are two PrizePicks plays I particularly love for this game. Read on to see why.
Joe Mixon
Over/Under 16.5 Rushing Attempts
Joe Mixon is the guy in Cincinnati now.
He’s been utilized more and more as the weeks go on, registering a season-high snap percentage count in Week 4 with 82.5%. His 99 touches lead the league this season.
The Bengals are running the offense through Mixon. Case in point …
- Week 1: 27 carries
- Week 2: 19 carries
- Week 3; 12 carries
- Week 4: 24 carries
The Ravens are not immune to the run as they are 22nd in rush defense DVOA this season.
Devin Singletary managed 11 attempts in a game the Bills had to throw in order to rally from a 17-point deficit. Both Rhamondre Stevenson and Damien Harris managed double-digit carries despite splitting time with each other.
Mixon is going to get every available carry on Sunday Night Football.
Our Action Network Player Props Tool projects him for almost 19 carries, which would track more closely with how he’s performed this season.
Pick: Over 16.5 rushing attempts
Joe Burrow
Over/Under 10.5 Rushing Yards
The Bengals have not improved their offensive line. Cincy is bottom 10 in adjusted sack rate as Burrow has been sacked 16 times, with only Carson Wentz being been sacked more.
As a result, Burrow has continually had to scramble. He’s had at least four rushing attempts in every game and 20 in total. He put up big rushing numbers against Pittsburgh (47) and Dallas (26) before slowing down against the Jets (0) and Dolphins (6).
But, as mentioned in the Mixon section, Baltimore is not immune to the run.
The Ravens allowed 70 rush yards to Josh Allen after allowing 31 to Mac Jones. If Burrow wants to get out of the pocket, there will be green areas of the field to scramble toward.
And we know Burrow can do it:
Easily one of my favorite touchdowns of the season.
Joe Burrow takes off on the outside and embarrasses the hit on a touchdown scramble.
In front of a packed home crowd against the Steelers, it made PBS go nuts.
From there, #Bengals blew em away. pic.twitter.com/orTsyhFANX
— Willie Lutz (@willie_lutz) March 26, 2022
Baltimore has a much better pass defense than rush defense. Remember Marcus Peters, Marlon Humphrey and Marcus Williams are back there in the secondary.
Burrow might have a tougher time finding targets than he did against New York or Miami, and that will lead to more scrambles and more rushing yards.
Our Action Network Player Props Tool projects Burrow for 15 rushing yards, while Stokastic’s Player Props Tool has him around 13.
Pick: Over 10.5 rushing yards
