A bettor at FanDuel has a +1600073 (!), 17-leg parlay down to its final leg: Joe Mixon over 63.5 rushing yards on Monday Night Football's Bengals vs. Browns.
The bettor put $7.77 on a Same Game Parlay+ that encompassed nine different games on Sunday in addition to Monday Night Football.
The potential payout? $124,333.46.
The full parlay 👀 pic.twitter.com/1mDdK1Q84u
— Action Network (@ActionNetworkHQ) October 31, 2022
When this story first published, the bettor told the Action Network he wasn't hedging this pick because FanDuel wasn't giving him the option to.
Since then, he placed $34,000 at Caesars on Mixon to rush for under 67.5 yards, according to VSiN.
So, if Mixon rushes for over 67.5 yards, the bettor will net $90,000. If Mixon rushes for under 63.5 yards, the bettor will net about $30,000.
And if Mixon rushes between 63.5 and 67.5 yards? The bettor will net about $150K.
The wager almost lost several times.
Green Bay Packers kicker Mason Crosby missed a 55-yard field goal with a minute left against the Bills, which would've ensured the over at 46.5 — and a worthless parlay. Buffalo kneeled out the clock on its ensuing drive.
The Bills also had the ball on the Packers' three-yard line earlier in the fourth quarter before a Josh Allen interception on third down prevented what would've been a chip shot field goal.
For Bears vs. Cowboys, CeeDee Lamb came up with his last catch — a 12-yard gain to give him the over — late in the third but got barreled hard and easily could've dropped the ball.
For Cardinals vs. Vikings, the bettor needed a DeAndre Hopkins touchdown catch, which he made with one hand and amidst a ton of contact. Few other receivers in the league come down with that ball.
And without a Tyler Lockett fumble at his own two-yard line, Saquon Barkley wouldn't have had the opportunity to punch in two straight one-yard rushes to score his TD against the Seahawks.
Mixon is projected at 66 rushing yards tonight, according to our predictive analytics team. The Browns have the fourth-worst rush defense in the NFL, according to Football Outsiders.
The bettors' line at o63.5 yards has a solid degree of closing line value. The price is a consensus 67.5 (-115) a few hours before kickoff.
