There are two betting trends developed by Action Network that have yielded elite returns since 2018.
While this has been a relatively small sample size — our betting algorithms typically glean data from 2005 onwards — it's enough to present value for Thursday Night Football's Bills vs. Patriots.
The first betting system targets the moneyline and has returned 27% on investment for every dollar spent since 2018. A $500 bettor would be up $8,500 in total if they had bet each of the 63 games that have fit this system over the last five seasons.
For the against-the-spread (ATS) trend, a $500 bettor would have returned $3,250 in profit.
Both systems align with one team's spread and moneyline, under very specific parameters that only target about 12 NFL games per season.