The first single-game player props have dropped for this upcoming NFL season.
Bills vs. Rams next Thursday at 8:20 p.m. ET is still more than a week away, but the player props for that particular game have already been posted by Caesars.
Cooper Kupp has by far the shortest odds to score the first touchdown or to score a TD anytime. His odds of +490 to score the first TD implies a 17% probability of that taking place. Compare that with the players with the second-shortest odds (Stefon Diggs at +800, 11%) and third-shortest odds (Allen Robinson at +900, 10%).
Kupp also has the only minus-money odds to score an anytime TD at -150, which indicates the market thinks the league's best receiver scores a touchdown against the Bills about 60% of the time.
As far as quarterbacks go, the markets for Josh Allen and Matt Stafford are incredibly similar, with the same total for TD passes, passing yards, interceptions and passing attempts.
Josh Allen vs. Matthew Stafford Pass TDs
Josh Allen vs. Matthew Stafford Passing Yards
Josh Allen vs. Matthew Stafford Interceptions
Josh Allen vs. Matthew Stafford Passing Completions
Allen leads the way in all of these categories except for passing touchdowns. Stafford takes the vig there with -184 compared to -154. The market thinks there's a roughly 4% higher chance Stafford throws for two TDs or more compared to Allen.
The Bills were considered perhaps the best team in football last season on account of their top-rated defense and an offense that ranked top-five in efficiency. The vast majority of those starters will remain on the team next season, and they've made some positive additions in Von Miller, along with a litany of other reinforcements on the defensive line.
Meanwhile, the Rams soldiered past a good-but-not-spectacular regular season — according to the raw numbers — to bring LA its first Super Bowl since the 1980s. The defending champions will bring in Allen Robinson as their second wide receiver and Bobby Wagner to shore up their defense, but they did lose some key pieces, too. Still, any team that has Aaron Donald bullrushing the quarterback for 70 snaps a game has a chance to win each and every contest.
