Bills vs. Bengals Odds, Prediction: Projections for Damar Hamlin’s Return to Cincinnati

Bills vs. Bengals Odds, Prediction: Projections for Damar Hamlin’s Return to Cincinnati article feature image
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Bills vs. Bengals Odds, Prediction

The following are the projected odds for Bills vs. Bengals, according to our Director of Predictive Analytics, Sean Koerner.

Bills Odds+1 
Bengals Odds-1
Over/Under48.6
Odds according to the Action Network

The Bills are projected to be +1 underdogs against the Bengals in Buffalo safety Damar Hamlin's return to Cincinnati, according to Action Network's data team.

The game's exact date and time will be announced on Thursday at 8 p.m. ET.

The fair value moneylines — according to our predictive analytics team — are Bills +115 and Bengals -115.

Buffalo had been -5.5 favorites for its home game against Cincy during the AFC Divisional Round last season. The Bills disappointed mightily in a 27-10 loss, ending their season.

When the Bills visited Cincinnati in January, the Bills had closed as -2.5 to -3 favorites. The game was canceled after Hamlin underwent cardiac arrest on the field. He has since recovered and has expressed his desire to return to the game of football.

The Bengals are projected to put up 24.8 points against the Bills' defense, which finished fourth in the NFL in DVOA in 2022. The Bills are projected to post 23.8 points against a Cincinnati defense that finished 11th last year.

Meanwhile, the Bills are expected to win this game 46.5% of the time, according to our metrics. Conversely, the Bengals are projected to win this game 53.5 times out of 100.

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About the Author
Avery Yang is an editor at the Action Network who focuses on breaking news across the sports world and betting algorithms that try to predict eventual outcomes. He is also Darren Rovell's editor. Avery is a recent graduate from Northwestern University's Medill School of Journalism. He has written for the Washington Post, the Associated Press, Sports Illustrated, (the old) Deadspin, MLB.com and others.

Follow Avery Yang @avery_yang on Twitter/X.

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