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Bills vs Dolphins Player Props for Anytime Touchdown Scorers: Dalton Kincaid, Braxton Berrios

Bills vs Dolphins Player Props for Anytime Touchdown Scorers: Dalton Kincaid, Braxton Berrios article feature image
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Photo by David Rosenblum/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Braxton Berrios (Dolphins)

The Bills take on the Dolphins in an AFC East duel on Thursday Night Football on September 12 (8:15 p.m. ET, Prime Video).

Here's my Bills vs. Dolphins player props for anytime touchdown scorers, including the Bills' Dalton Kincaid and the Dolphins' Braxton Berrios.

Gilles Gallant's Bills vs Dolphins Anytime Touchdown Scorers

  • Bills' Dalton Kincaid +225 (bet365)
  • Dolphins' Braxton Berrios +750 (bet365)

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Dalton Kincaid +225

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Dalton Kincaid wasn’t really part of the Bills' game plan in Week 1 against the Cardinals, but he did receive more snaps than fellow tight end Dawson Knox and saw a red zone target.

Kincaid ran a route on 25 of 26 passing plays in Week 1, and he should see more targets now that he's facing the Dolphins defense in Week 2. Miami ranked 30th in defensive DVOA against tight ends last season, allowing seven touchdowns to the position (which was bottom-five in the NFL).

Also, coming into 2024, the Dolphins had allowed the second-most touchdowns to tight ends over the last two seasons.

Not betting on Knox at +500 will probably come back to bite me, but Kincaid may as well be WR2 in this offense despite a quiet opening game.


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Braxton Berrios +750

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I was going to have Bills WR Mack Hollins as my long shot at +600, but he’s steamed now to +400, which wouldn't be a price that attracts me.

Part of the reason why I took Braxton Berrios here is the injuries for the Dolphins. RB Raheem Mostert is out, De'Von Achane missed some practice and Jaylen Waddle had to leave their Week 1 game against the Jaguars briefly.

Plus, Tyreek Hill is likely going to be double-covered all game.

At this stage, I’d rather take a swing on Berrios at +750, especially with him returning kicks.

Also, Berrios scored against the Bills last year in Week 4 (+550) when he caught an 11-yard touchdown pass.

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About the Author
Gilles Gallant is a staff writer at the Action Network, specializing in NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer props. A regular contributor to The Action Network Podcast and YouTube shows like Action Island and Bet What Happens Live, Gilles has been betting on the NFL since 2012 and honed his profitable strategy in 2018. With a background at Odds Shark and FTN Network, he’s known for his expertise in NFL and other sports markets like NBA and MLB. Gilles holds a degree in broadcast journalism from Nova Scotia Community College and is a Certified Sales Professional.​

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