After a grueling 207-day break, the NFL is back! The regular season kicks off an annual marathon of betting, and with the emergence of player props, there’s no market that has exploded more in popularity than Anytime Touchdown Scorers.
As the Anytime Touchdown Specialist here at The Action Network, I’ll be betting TD props for every primetime game of the 2022 NFL season and sharing my analysis on how I’m approaching each pick.
For the non-primetime NFL games on Sundays at 1 p.m. and 4 p.m. ET, make sure to watch “The Touchdown Show,” which is co-hosted with Dr. Nick Giffen and airs every Sunday at 10:30 a.m. ET on The Action Network YouTube channel. This will have my top TD picks of the week.
Most importantly, download the Action Network App to get all of my touchdown picks in one place and as soon as I bet them at my sportsbook. If I’m betting on touchdown props for any NFL game, this is the place to find it so get it ASAP.
Bills vs Rams Anytime Touchdown Picks
It’s arguably the cream of the crop from the AFC and NFC to kickoff the 103rd NFL regular season. With both the Bills and Rams ranking in the top 10 in points per game and touchdowns per game in 2021, we’ve got a matchup that’s ripe for picking Anytime Touchdown Scorers.
Here are my three favorite picks (All bets are for 1U unless otherwise noted):
Allen Robinson
ATD (+160, FanDuel)
There’s a lot to like here with Robinson. He’s an arguable WR1 in the Rams’ offense and playing with the best quarterback he’s ever had in Matthew Stafford.
For comparison, when Robert Woods was WR2 to Cooper Kupp last season, his odds ranged from -105 to +120 in nine games played. That means +155 is a major steal for Robinson. This might be the last time you see him above +120 all season if he scores.
Dawson Knox
ATD (+180, Caesars)
For anyone who has followed me before, you know my mantra: If Knox is ever above +200, it’s an auto-bet every time. He was fourth in red-zone targets of all tight ends last season and finished with nine touchdowns.
There’s a ton of love for Gabriel Davis this year, but let’s be real: This is the Bills player to target for TD props. While the Rams only allowed four TDs to tight ends last season, they were bottom-10 in both targets and receptions to the position.
Knox was higher than +200 to start Wednesday, but new of his new four-year contract extension caused some steam that moved him down to where he stands at +180 at Caesars. I'd still play him at this number.
Ben Skowronek
ATD (+500, FanDuel)
This is more of an odds play given Skowronek hasn’t caught a TD in his NFL career. That being said, he was heavily involved in the Rams’ passing game in the playoffs with Van Jefferson injured, and Jefferson is out for this game, as well.
Buffalo only gave up six TDs to wide receivers last season, which was best in the NFL. Four of those, however, came after Tre’Davious White tore his ACL in Week 12, and White is out for the first four games of the season after being placed on the reserve/PUP list.
This number was much, much higher on Wednesday morning. It was +675 at BetMGM, before news that Jefferson was definitively out broke later in the afternoon. It got slashed very quickly, but DraftKings still has the highest number.
I’m only betting a half-unit on this one to limit my bets for the first game.
