In the most anticipated game of the 1 p.m. ET slate, the Bills look to bounce back on the road in Baltimore against the Ravens. These are two of the three top teams in the Super Bowl market and they should put up fireworks with Sunday’s highest projected total (51).
What’s better than a same game parlay to go along with two high-powered offenses in the game of the day?
Lucky for you, I have that covered:
Baltimore
+3 (-110)
In what started as Action Network’s biggest recorded edge ever, the Ravens enter this game as three-point underdogs. This is a perfect spot to back Baltimore at home.
Everyone talked about how the Dolphins defense played over 90 snaps and was on the field late in the fourth quarter. However, the same argument can be made about the Bills offense — though not on short rest.
The Dolphins figured out how to limit the Bills offense, sitting their safeties deep and taking away the home run ball to Stefon Diggs. Instead, they forced a dink-and-dunk game with less explosive plays.
Baltimore matches up well with the Bills, who are 19th in rush defense, per PFF.
We all know about Jackson’s dual-threat ability, and that should cause issues. And with such a severely shorthanded secondary, Jackson should be able to take advantage with Rashod Bateman deep and Mark Andrews in the middle of the field.
It’s also important to note that Gabriel Davis suffered a setback in practice this week. While he said that he will play Sunday, it may not be at 100 percent, or he could be placed on a snap count.
Over the last five years, the Ravens are 5-0 ATS at home as underdogs, and Jackson specifically is 8-2 ATS as an underdog.
Back the Ravens and look at their futures price too. Because if they win this game, you’ll never find them cheaper this season.
Mark Andrews
60+ receiving yards (-132)
There are few constants in life. Mark Andrews is one of them.
Andrews has long been Jackson’s favorite target and nothing has changed in 2022. The tight end has 22 receptions for 245 yards — 31 targets — and has eclipsed 60 receiving yards in two of the three games.
Last year, Andrews ended on a six-game streak of 60-plus receiving yards. Jackson’s dual-threat ability often overshadows his arm, but through three games, he’s thrown for 749 yards and 10 touchdowns.
In what sets up to be a high-scoring affair, Andrews should see close to double-digit targets once again. Trust ol’ reliable to dominate at home.
Josh Allen
Over 39.5 rushing yards (-113)
We all know Jackson can do damage through the ground and air — Josh Allen is no slouch himself. The 6-foot-5, 237-pound quarterback is quick and has 113 rushing yards through three games.
The one game he didn’t run was the blowout 41-7 win against the Titans — he ran just once for 10 yards.
In what sets up to be a high-scoring game against a Ravens defense that ranks top five in pass rush (per PFF), Allen should be flushed out of the pocket. His speed, physicality and ability to run through contact will benefit him.
Last season, Allen rushed for 40-plus yards in 12 of the 18 games, including five straight to end the year. Against playoff teams, that rises to six of eight.
If the Ravens try to replicate a similar defensive plan to Miami and take away Diggs over the top, Allen should once again see plenty of opportunities on the ground and hit this number with ease.
Devin Singletary
ATD (+185)
The Ravens are an incredibly hard team to cap in the anytime touchdown market because of their ground-and-pound tendencies and revolving door of running backs. On the Bills side, I believe Devin Singletary is undervalued.
Obviously Diggs is priced as the favorite and Davis is not too far behind at No. 2. But the fact Singletary is below Allen is wrong.
For starters, Singletary has double the touches (8) than any Bill inside the red zone. Inside the five, he’s tied with Allen with a pair of touches.
In what was expected to be a crowded backfield in Buffalo, Singletary has quickly supplanted himself as the starter. Last week, he played 67 snaps to Zack Moss’ 16 and James Cook’s 11.
Singletary is a sleeper in the anytime touchdown market and is a big boost to the parlay.
The Bills should constantly be threatening in the red zone given the high game total. That gives an edge to Singletary, who is undervalued at a near +200 price.
The Parlay:
- Ravens +3 (-110)
- Mark Andrews 60+ receiving yards (-132)
- Josh Allen Over 39.5 rushing yards (-113)
- Devin Singletary Anytime TD (+185)
